Hurricane Erin tracker: Category 4 storm to bring dangerous surf and rip currents to the East Coast — see its projected path
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Hurricane Erin tracker: Category 4 storm to bring dangerous surf and rip currents to the East Coast — see its projected path
Erin has maximum sustained winds of 130 mph. The storm is expected to make a gradual turn to the north later today. Erin is the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic season. It’s expected to move between Bermuda and the East Coast of the U.S. by the middle of the week. The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, which began June 1 and runs through the end of November, has a 50% chance of being above normal, forecasters say. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration slightly updated the number of expected storms to 13 to 18 (estimated at 13 to 19 in May), five of which could become major hurricanes (with winds of more than 111 mph) A typical hurricane season averages 14 named storms, and as of Friday, Aug. 15, there have been six so far: tropical storms Andrea, Barry, Chantal, Dexter, and Erin.
According to the National Hurricane Center, the rough surf conditions from the storm could affect the Bahamas and Bermuda and states on the U.S. East Coast as early as Monday.
In North Carolina, officials in Dare County declared a state of emergency and ordered the evacuation of Hatteras Island on the Outer Banks, where heavy surf from Erin is expected to have an impact on the barrier islands in the coming days.
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Erin formed in the eastern Atlantic Ocean last week, officially reaching hurricane status on Friday. It’s the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic season.
Where is Hurricane Erin now, and what is its path?
As of 8 a.m. ET Monday:
Erin was located 115 miles north-northeast of Grand Turk Island and about 890 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras, N.C.
The storm has maximum sustained winds of 130 mph.
It is moving northwest at 13 mph.
Erin is expected to make a gradual turn to the north later today, the NHC said in its latest advisory.
On the forecast track, the storm is expected to pass to the east of the southeastern Bahamas today and move between Bermuda and the East Coast of the United States by the middle of the week.
Watches and warnings
As of 8 a.m. ET Monday, these are the advisories in place, according to the NHC:
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Tropical storm warnings are in effect for:
Turks and Caicos Islands
Southeast Bahamas
A tropical storm watch is in effect for:
Central Bahamas
Tropical storm conditions are expected today across the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeast Bahamas.
The outer bands of Erin are expected to bring areas of heavy rainfall across portions of Hispaniola, Turks and Caicos, and the southeast and central Bahamas on Monday and Tuesday. Rainfall totals could range from 2 to 4 inches, with up to 6 inches in isolated areas.
Though Erin is not expected to make direct landfall, swells generated by the storm will affect the Bahamas, Bermuda, the East Coast of the United States and Atlantic Canada during the next several days.
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“These rough ocean conditions will likely cause life-threatening surf and rip currents,” the NHC said.
What are the chances Erin will intensify?
Erin reached Category 4 strength on Saturday before briefly weakening and reintensifying early Monday. The same pattern could play out early this week.
Some “additional strengthening” is expected today, NHC forecasters said, and Erin “will remain a dangerous major hurricane through the middle of this week.”
Hurricanes are rated on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, ranging from Category 1 to Category 5, with 5 being the most severe. A storm is considered a major hurricane when it reaches Category 3 strength, with sustained winds of at least 111 mph.
How is hurricane season shaping up?
The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, which began June 1 and runs through the end of November, has a 50% chance of being above normal.
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Earlier this month, forecasters at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration slightly updated the number of expected storms to 13 to 18 (estimated at 13 to 19 in May), five of which could become major hurricanes (with winds of more than 111 mph).
A typical hurricane season averages 14 named storms. We’re currently about halfway through this year’s hurricane season, and as of Friday, Aug. 15, there have been six so far: tropical storms Andrea, Barry, Chantal, Dexter, and now Hurricane Erin.