
Traveling for July 4? This is how congested the roads and skies may be
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Diverging Reports Breakdown
A Whopping 72 Million People Expected To Travel Over July 4th
AAA projects 72 million Americans will travel this Fourth of July. Orlando tops the list of U.S. destinations, while Vancouver is No. 1 among cities Americans will visit overseas. AAA recommends getting routine vehicle maintenance ahead of your trip and packing an emergency kit. A record 4.2 million Illinoisans are expected to travel this July 4th week, up 104,000 from last year. The number of people traveling by air is projected to set a new record, leading to snarls and long lines at airports. The FAA faces a nationwide shortage of Air Traffic Controllers, and Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy is calling it an urgent issue. The Israel-Iran conflict in the Middle East and weather could impact how much travelers have to spend at the pump. The best time to travel is Saturday, June 28 noon – 5 pm before 10 a.m. Sunday, June 29 pm – 4 pm Sunday, July 6 pm. The worst times to travel are Monday, June 30 pm, and Tuesday, June 31.
Related Experts Predict A Terrible Summer For Air Travel: Here’s The Solution Air travel this summer may be the worst ever! Here’s how to outsmart the system, prep early, and survive the airport madness.
With schools letting out and families preparing to travel, experts say planning and staying flexible will be key to navigating the busiest summer travel season in 15 years. According to AAA, Orlando tops the list of U.S. destinations for the Fourth of July, while Vancouver is No. 1 among cities Americans will visit overseas.
AAA projects 72 Million Americans Will Travel For This Fourth Of July
With just two weeks to go, AAA has projected that a whopping 72 million Americans will travel this Fourth of July. According to AAA, the majority, over 61.5 million, will travel by car. This Independence Day holiday period is expected to see an additional 1.3 million road travelers compared to 2024. Travel experts say road congestion will be at its worst on Wednesday, July 2, and Sunday, July 6. Another 4.78 million people will travel by bus, train, or cruise.
“Summertime is one of the busiest travel seasons of the year, and July 4th is one of the most popular times to get away. Following Memorial Day’s record forecast, AAA is seeing strong demand for road trips and air travel over Independence Day week. With the holiday falling on a Friday, travelers have the option of making it a long weekend or taking the entire week to make memories with family and friends.” – Stacey Barber, Vice President at AAA.
Summer gas prices are the lowest since 2021, but AAA says the Israel-Iran conflict in the Middle East and weather could impact how much travelers have to spend at the pump.
Last July 4th, AAA responded to nearly 700,000 emergency roadside assistance calls for issues like dead batteries and flat tires, as well as people locking themselves out of their cars or running out of gas. AAA recommends getting routine vehicle maintenance ahead of your trip and packing an emergency kit.
Airports will also be busy, with 5.8 million people expected to fly, 8% of all Independence Day travelers, and a 1.4% increase over the previous record of 5.76 million air travelers set last Independence Day week. The FAA faces a nationwide shortage of Air Traffic Controllers, and Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy is calling it an urgent issue. He also highlighted the urgent need to upgrade equipment in control towers.
“They should not be using this equipment,” Duffy said. “Americans expect much better, and I’m pulling every lever to keep controllers in the pipeline and fully certified.”
A Record 4.2 Million Illinoisans Expected To Travel This July 4th Week
Illinois travel is expected to reach historic levels, with 4.2 million Illinoisans hitting the roads, skies, and rails – up 104,000 from last year.
Top Destinations With Best & Worst Times To Travel
Some top destinations based on advanced bookings are also on AAA’s list of most popular places to visit over July 4th this year, and Orlando, Florida, tops that list. Other destinations within the U.S. include Seattle, New York City, Fort Lauderdale, etc., popular tourist hubs on any given day of the year, and the fourth of July weekend will only make it more crowded. The same applies to international destinations like Rome, Paris, London, and Barcelona (despite Spain protesting against tourists).
Top 4th of July Destinations
Domestic International/Caribbean Orlando, Florida Vancouver, Canada Seattle, Washington Rome, Italy New York, New York Paris, France Anchorage, Alaska London, England Fort Lauderdale, Florida Barcelona, Spain Honolulu, Hawaii Dublin, Ireland Denver, Colorado Amsterdam, Netherlands Miami, Florida Calgary, Canada Boston, Massachusetts Athens, Greece Atlanta, Georgia Lisbon, Portugal
The number of people traveling by air is projected to set a new record, leading to traffic snarls and long lines, which is an understatement. Planning your departure with expected delays will be key to making up for any timelines for flights, trains, buses, or cruises.
Times To Avoid Travel & Plan Travel As Per AAA
Date Worst Travel Time Best Travel Time Saturday, June 28 12 noon – 5 p.m. Before 10 a.m. Sunday, June 29 2 p.m. – 4 p.m. Before 11 a.m. Monday, June 30 2 p.m. – 6 p.m. Before noon. Tuesday, July 1 3 p.m. – 6 p.m. Before 2 p.m. Wednesday, July 2 12 noon – 9 p.m. Before noon. Thursday, July 3 2 p.m. – 6 p.m. Before noon. Friday, July 4 12 noon – 7 p.m. Before noon. Saturday, July 5 11 a.m.- 5 p.m. Before 11 a.m. Sunday, July 6 12 noon – 6 p.m. Before 11 a.m.
America’s summer travel has already been in full swing, and AAA projects 72 million Americans will travel domestically for the Fourth of July. This will be about 1.7 million more people over the Fourth of July break in 2024. AAA has provided data, guidelines, and suggestions on how to make the most of holiday travel without being stranded in traffic or stuck in lines.
July 4th holiday travel period to reach historic levels
AAA projects 72.2 million Americans will travel domestically during the Independence Day holiday period (Saturday, June 28 to Sunday, July 6) Georgia travel is expected to reach historic levels, with nearly 2.3 million Georgians hitting the road, skies, and rails – that’s up almost 68,000 (2.9%) from last year. Nearly 164,000 Georgians will fly domestically (+1,500, up 2.9%), and 104,000 will take buses, trains, or cruises. AAA responded to nearly 700,000 roadside assistance calls nationwide during last year’S holiday period, addressing issues such as dead batteries, flat tires, and empty gas tanks. Georgia drivers are currently paying around $2.95. That is approximately 37 cents per gallon less than last year’s holiday ($3.32). Visit GasPrices.AAA.com for the latest gas price averages. Travelers booking last-minute flights can find better deals by flying mid-week (Tuesdays or Wednesdays)
ATLANTA – AAA predicts the July 4th holiday period to reach historic levels with 2.38 million Georgians expected to travel.
Release:
AAA projects 72.2 million Americans will travel domestically during the Independence Day holiday period (Saturday, June 28 to Sunday, July 6). This represents an increase of 1.7 million travelers (2.4%) over last year and 7 million more than in 2019.
To better reflect holiday travel trends, AAA’s forecast now accounts for two weekends, capturing extended trips and varied departure schedules.
Georgia Travel Trends
Georgia travel is expected to reach historic levels, with nearly 2.3 million Georgians hitting the road, skies, and rails – that’s up almost 68,000 (2.9%) from last year.
Driving: More than 2 million Georgians will take a road trip (+59,000, up 2.9% from last year).
More than will take a road trip (+59,000, up 2.9% from last year). Flying: Nearly 164,000 Georgians will fly domestically (+1,500, up 2.9% from last year).
Nearly will fly domestically (+1,500, up 2.9% from last year). Other Modes: Nearly 104,000 Georgians will take buses, trains, or cruises (+7,000, up 7% from last year).
Independence Day Travelers Georgia Numbers 2025 2024 2019 Total Travelers 2.38 million 2.31 million 2.19 million Automobile 2.1 million 2.0 million 1.9 million Airplane 163,904 162,335 144,464 Other Modes 103,748 96,725 109,577
“Independence Day is one of the most popular times for travel, with Americans eager to take advantage of summer vacation opportunities,” said Debbie Haas, Vice President of AAA Travel. “This year, we’re seeing strong demand for road trips, flights, and cruises, especially with the holiday falling on a Friday. This is allowing travelers to extend their getaways and make lasting memories with loved ones.”
How Americans Are Traveling This Independence Day
By Car:
AAA estimates 61.6 million Americans will drive—a 2.2% increase from last year and the highest number ever recorded. An additional 1.3 million road travelers are expected compared to 2024.
“Drivers hitting the road this 4th of July, remember to buckle up, slow down, and drive safe,” said Montrae Waiters, spokeswoman for AAA – The Auto Club Group. “The best trips are the ones where everyone gets home safely.”
Drivers should prepare their vehicles in advance, as AAA responded to nearly 700,000 roadside assistance calls nationwide during last year’s holiday period, addressing issues such as dead batteries, flat tires, and empty gas tanks.
Gas prices are likely to fluctuate in the lead-up to Independence Day. Last week, oil prices surged in response to Israel’s strikes on Iran, increasing gasoline production costs. While analysts suggest this may be a short-term reaction, it’s too early to know whether prices will stabilize before the holiday. Georgia drivers are currently paying around $2.95. That is approximately 37 cents per gallon less than last year’s holiday ($3.32). Visit GasPrices.AAA.com for the latest gas price averages.
Road Trip Inspiration: Take a road trip to one of the 10 Best National Parks to Visit in Summer on AAA Trip Canvas.
By Air:
Air travel is reaching record-breaking numbers nationwide, with 5.84 million people flying, a 1.4% increase over last year’s previous high. This figure exclusively represents domestic leisure travel, counting complete round-trip itineraries as a single trip. This differs from TSA data, which tracks each airport screening separately and includes both domestic and international travel.
AAA data show that round-trip domestic flights are averaging $810, up 4% from 2024. Travelers booking last-minute can find better deals by flying midweek (Tuesdays or Wednesdays).
Air Travel Inspiration: Need family-friendly ideas? Explore the 17 Best Vacation Spots for Families on AAA Trip Canvas.
By Other Modes:
Nearly 4.78 million people will travel by bus, train, or cruise, marking a 7.4% rise over last year. Cruising continues to fuel this growth, particularly in peak Alaska cruise season.
Cruise Inspiration: Check out the 9 Best Alaska Cruises for Every Traveler for your next adventure.
AAA’s Top Independence Day Destinations
AAA booking data reveals the most sought-after travel spots for July 4th: DOMESTIC INTERNATIONAL ORLANDO, FL VANCOUVER, CANADA SEATTLE, WA ROME, ITALY NEW YORK, NY PARIS, FRANCE ANCHORAGE, AK LONDON, ENGLAND FORT LAUDERDALE, FL BARCELONA, SPAIN HONOLULU, HI DUBLIN, IRELAND DENVER, CO AMSTERDAM, NETHERLANDS MIAMI, FL CALGARY, CANADA BOSTON, MA ATHENS, GREECE ATLANTA, GA LISBON, PORTUGAL
These destinations are based on AAA booking data for the Independence Day travel period. Cruises, beaches, and fireworks are the primary motivators for travelers heading to these cities. Alaska cruises are in peak season, Florida and Hawaii are in high demand for their resorts and attractions, and New York and Boston host two of the most popular fireworks shows in the nation.
Internationally, Vancouver tops the list for its mild weather and perfect blend of urban excitement and natural beauty. This is followed by Europe’s most in-demand cities, such as Rome and Paris.
Best & Worst Times to Drive
According to INRIX, expect heavy road congestion on Wednesday, July 2 and Sunday, July 6. The busiest times will be afternoons, while mornings offer the best escape from traffic.
Ideal Travel Times:
Worst hours: Afternoon to early evening
Afternoon to early evening Best hours: Early morning
Drivers should remain alert for potential construction delays, crashes, and severe weather conditions. AAA reminds all motorists to Slow Down, Move Over for emergency responders assisting roadside travelers.
Best and Worst Times to Travel by Car Date Worst Travel Time Best Travel Time Saturday, Jun 28 12:00 PM – 5:00 PM Before 10:00 AM Sunday, Jun 29 2:00 PM – 4:00 PM Before 11:00 AM Monday, Jun 30 2:00 PM – 6:00 PM Before 12:00 PM Tuesday, Jul 01 3:00 PM – 6:00 PM Before 2:00 PM Wednesday, Jul 02 12:00 PM – 9:00 PM Before 12:00 PM Thursday, Jul 03 2:00 PM – 6:00 PM Before 12:00 PM Friday, Jul 04 12:00 PM – 7:00 PM Before 12:00 PM Saturday, Jul 05 11:00 AM – 5:00 PM Before 11:00 AM Sunday, Jul 06 12:00 PM – 6:00 PM Before 11:00 AM
“We encourage travelers to consider purchasing travel insurance to protect their plans,” said Haas. “Unexpected disruptions like flight delays, lost luggage, or medical emergencies can turn a dream vacation into a stressful experience. Travel insurance provides peace of mind, ensuring you can enjoy your Independence Day getaway with confidence.”
Looking for a last-minute rental car, hotel, or flight? Visit AAA.com/travel to lock in your plans or connect with a AAA Travel Advisor for expert guidance on crafting a trip tailored to your interests.
Michigan Travel Surges: 2.6 Million travelers Expected to Hit the Road, Skies, and Rails for July 4th Holiday
AAA has released its forecast for the 2025 Independence Day travel period, predicting a record-breaking 2.6 million Michiganders will travel. This marks a nearly 3% increase from last year, with 71,000 additional Michigan residents expected to hit the road, skies, and rails. The surge in travel comes as Americans look to capitalize on extended weekends and the long-awaited summer vacation opportunities, with AAA also projecting that 72.2 million people nationwide will travel for the holiday. Wednesday, July 2, and Sunday, July 6, are expected to be the busiest days for travel, with the worst travel times being between 12:00 PM and 5:00pm. AAA recommends checking vehicle readiness before embarking on long-distance travel, as dead batteries, flat tires, and empty gas tanks caused a significant portion of roadside assistance calls last year. Travelers looking to save on flight costs are advised to book midweek departures, particularly on Tuesdays and Wednesdays, to find better deals. New York, Boston, and Honolulu are the top U.S. cities for international travel.
AAA has released its forecast for the 2025 Independence Day travel period, predicting a record-breaking 2.6 million Michiganders will travel during the holiday from Saturday, June 28 to Sunday, July 6. This marks a nearly 3% increase from last year, with 71,000 additional Michigan residents expected to hit the road, skies, and rails.
The surge in travel comes as Americans look to capitalize on extended weekends and the long-awaited summer vacation opportunities, with AAA also projecting that 72.2 million people nationwide will travel for the holiday. This represents an increase of 1.7 million travelers, or 2.4%, compared to 2024, and an additional 7 million travelers since 2019.
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Travel Trends in Michigan: Road Trips, Flights, and Cruises
For Michigan residents, the holiday weekend will see substantial travel across various modes of transportation, with nearly 2.4 million people taking road trips, a 2.5% increase from the previous year. This marks an expected rise of 59,000 more road travelers in Michigan alone. As the most popular mode of travel, driving continues to dominate, with people heading out to enjoy everything from relaxing beach vacations to attending fireworks displays.
Air travel is also on the rise, with nearly 96,000 Michiganders expected to fly, a 1% increase from last year. Domestic flights continue to show strong demand, reflecting the overall nationwide surge in air travel. Airfares are predicted to average $810 for a round-trip flight, up 4% from the previous year. Travelers looking to save on flight costs are advised to book midweek departures, particularly on Tuesdays and Wednesdays, to find better deals.
Meanwhile, travel by other means, such as buses, trains, and cruises, is expected to reach more than 160,000 Michigan residents. This marks a significant 7% increase from last year, driven in large part by the growing popularity of cruise travel, particularly in Alaska during peak season.
Record Numbers on the Road Nationwide
Nationwide, AAA estimates that a record 61.6 million Americans will take road trips during the holiday period, an increase of 2.2% over last year. Michigan’s share of these travelers reflects the national trend, with many people planning longer getaways thanks to the holiday falling on a Friday. However, drivers are urged to prepare for potential challenges, as AAA responded to nearly 700,000 roadside assistance calls last year during the holiday period.
Road congestion is expected to be heavy, with Wednesday, July 2, and Sunday, July 6, projected to be the busiest days. Travel during these times will likely experience delays, with the worst travel times being between 12:00 PM and 5:00 PM. Early mornings are the ideal times for smoother travel, as this is when roads tend to be less congested.
Impact of Gas Prices and Travel Tips for Michigan Drivers
As travelers prepare to drive, gas prices may play a role in planning. Oil prices surged last week due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, potentially affecting gasoline production costs. While analysts believe the price increase may be temporary, it remains uncertain whether gas prices will stabilize in time for the holiday weekend. Currently, Michigan residents are paying around $3.30 per gallon, which is approximately 30 cents less than last year.
For those planning a road trip, AAA recommends checking vehicle readiness before embarking on long-distance travel. Common issues like dead batteries, flat tires, and empty gas tanks caused a significant portion of roadside assistance calls last year. Travelers are advised to ensure their vehicles are in good condition, with special attention to tire pressure and oil levels, to avoid delays and safety hazards.
Top Independence Day Destinations and Travel Inspiration
AAA’s booking data highlights the most popular destinations for July 4th, both domestically and internationally. Domestically, Florida is expected to draw significant crowds, with Orlando, Fort Lauderdale, and Miami leading the pack. Alaska cruises also remain a top choice, with many looking to explore the rugged beauty of the state’s glaciers and natural landscapes. Additionally, cities like New York, Boston, and Honolulu are among the top U.S. cities, especially for their spectacular fireworks displays.
For those considering international travel, cities like Vancouver, Rome, and Paris dominate the list. Vancouver stands out for its blend of natural beauty and urban excitement, while Rome and Paris continue to attract travelers with their iconic landmarks and summer festivals.
Planning for Travel Disruptions
Travelers are encouraged to consider purchasing travel insurance, particularly with the unpredictable nature of modern travel. Whether dealing with last-minute flight delays, lost luggage, or unexpected medical emergencies, insurance offers peace of mind and protection against disruptions.
Travelers can lock in plans through AAA’s online travel booking portal or by connecting with a AAA Travel Advisor for assistance in crafting a trip that suits their interests and preferences.
As Independence Day draws near, both Michigan residents and travelers across the country are gearing up for one of the busiest holiday travel seasons on record. With careful planning and a little extra preparation, travelers can make the most of their summer getaways, whether on the road, in the skies, or on the water.
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Atlanta, Los Angeles, New York City and Other American Cities will be More Congested in This July Fourth Independence Day Holiday Trips, A New Research on How US Travel Becoming Economy Powerhouse
Atlanta, Los Angeles, New York City and Other American Cities will be More Congested in This July Fourth Independence Day Holiday Trips. A new research report reveals how U.S. travel is evolving into an economic powerhouse. With record numbers expected to hit the highways, data from INRIX has revealed critical insights into when to drive, when to stay off the road, and which metro areas will see the worst traffic jams. Wednesday, July 2 and Sunday, July 6 are the two most congested days of the holiday week. Afternoon hours are expected to be gridlocked. Routes in and out of major metro areas could see travel times double—or worse. If you must travel those days, hit the road early—preferably before noon. It could be the difference between a smooth ride and sitting in bumper-to-bumper frustration. Even on July 4, traffic will spike on the 4th of July itself, with a spike from 12 PM to 9 PM on July 2.
Atlanta, Los Angeles, New York City, and other major American cities are bracing for a travel storm this July Fourth. The roads are tightening. The skies are buzzing. The countdown to Independence Day is on—and congestion is coming fast. This isn’t just holiday traffic. It’s a tidal wave. Atlanta will feel the heat. Los Angeles will slow to a crawl. New York City will pulse with motion, then stall with congestion. Other American cities aren’t far behind. Every intersection, every interstate, every airport terminal is about to be tested. But what’s fueling this surge? A new research report reveals something bigger. This isn’t just about celebration. It’s about how U.S. travel is evolving—fast—into an economic powerhouse. Independence Day trips are no longer weekend getaways. They’re financial engines. They’re mobility-driven movements that move people, markets, and momentum.
Meanwhile, congestion is becoming the visible cost of that growth. Atlanta’s highways will jam. Los Angeles will grind during peak hours. New York City will pulse with thousands of travelers at once. And other American cities—large and small—will feel the pressure.
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This July Fourth is more than fireworks and flags. It’s a test of infrastructure. A gauge of economic energy. A moment where the travel sector takes center stage—and congestion becomes the price of progress.
Why are American cities like Atlanta, Los Angeles, and New York City bracing for record congestion? How is this July Fourth shaping the future of U.S. travel and the economy? Keep reading. The story is bigger than you think.
As Independence Day 2025 approaches, travelers across the U.S. are bracing for what could be the most congested Fourth of July travel period in recent years. With record numbers expected to hit the highways, data from INRIX has revealed critical insights into when to drive, when to stay off the road, and which metro areas will see the worst traffic jams.
From California to New York, and from Atlanta to Seattle, millions of drivers are planning trips between Saturday, June 28, and Sunday, July 6. But with celebrations, summer vacations, and reunions stacked into the same nine-day period, timing will be everything.
July 2 and July 6: The Worst Days to Drive
INRIX, a leading provider of transportation data, has identified Wednesday, July 2 and Sunday, July 6 as the two most congested days of the holiday week. Afternoon hours are expected to be gridlocked. Routes in and out of major metro areas could see travel times double—or worse—if drivers don’t plan ahead.
Congestion will peak between 12 PM and 9 PM on July 2 and from 12 PM to 6 PM on July 6. If you must travel those days, hit the road early—preferably before noon. It could be the difference between a smooth ride and sitting in bumper-to-bumper frustration.
Metro-Level Congestion: Where It Gets Ugly
The INRIX report breaks down metro-specific patterns, highlighting traffic pressure points that could grind entire corridors to a halt.
In Atlanta, drivers leaving for Birmingham on I-20 West on Sunday, June 29 at 12:15 PM will be caught in a wave of outbound congestion. Returning from Savannah to Atlanta on Sunday, July 6 at 2:30 PM will be just as painful.
Los Angeles travelers are facing a double dose of trouble. Departures to San Diego along I-5 South peak at 5:00 PM on Saturday, June 28. Returns from Las Vegas on Sunday, July 6 at 5:00 PM will slam into the infamous I-15 crawl.
New York City travelers heading to the Jersey Shore via the Garden State Parkway South on Tuesday, July 1 at 4:30 PM are advised to leave earlier. Meanwhile, return trips from Albany on July 6 at 4:15 PM along I-87 South will see packed roads and potential delays.
Best Times to Beat the Holiday Traffic
While the worst hours are mid-day and late afternoon, INRIX’s data points to consistent windows of lower congestion. The best strategy? Leave before 11:00 AM on most days, especially on high-traffic weekends.
For example:
On Saturday, June 28, depart before 10:00 AM to beat the crowds.
to beat the crowds. On Wednesday, July 2—forecasted as the worst day— any travel after noon is high risk .
. Even on July 4 itself, traffic will spike from 12 PM to 7 PM, so morning travel remains your best bet.
National Impact: Economy, Safety, and Stress
This surge in road travel doesn’t just affect traffic—it affects the entire economy. More than 70 million Americans are expected to drive during this Independence Day window. High congestion leads to:
Increased fuel consumption and costs.
Elevated stress and road rage incidents.
Greater risk of crashes and emergency response delays.
Disruptions to delivery logistics and service-based industries.
Road safety officials are urging travelers to watch for stopped vehicles, slow down in construction zones, and follow “Move Over” laws to protect emergency responders.
Economic Insights: Why the Roads Are So Packed
This year’s travel trends are shaped by a mix of economic and emotional drivers. According to AAA and S&P Global Market Intelligence, Americans are feeling financially confident. Rising wages, strong employment numbers, and falling fuel prices have made road trips more attractive than ever.
Moreover, many families delayed travel in spring due to weather and inflation concerns. Now, with summer in full swing, the demand for vacations is surging. Combine that with expanding metro populations and increased car ownership, and the result is a perfect storm of holiday road traffic.
Travel Smarter: Tools and Tips
For those who can’t change their plans, there are still ways to reduce the pain:
Use real-time traffic apps like Google Maps or Waze for dynamic rerouting.
like Google Maps or Waze for dynamic rerouting. Avoid peak metro exit times , typically between 3 PM and 7 PM.
, typically between 3 PM and 7 PM. Consider alternative travel days , like Monday, June 30, or Friday, July 4 morning, when roads are relatively calmer.
, like Monday, June 30, or Friday, July 4 morning, when roads are relatively calmer. Pack essentials like snacks, water, and phone chargers in case you get stuck.
Meanwhile, travel corridors between major cities such as Chicago–Indianapolis, Portland–Eugene, and Tampa–Orlando are also flagged as high-risk zones for backups and delays.
The Bigger Picture: Reimagining Travel Forecasts
This year marks the second time AAA and INRIX have adopted a nine-day holiday travel window instead of the traditional single weekend. This shift helps capture more accurate traffic behavior across extended breaks, especially as hybrid work models allow travelers to leave earlier or return later.
Still, the longer window doesn’t guarantee relief. Traffic volume remains front-loaded around peak celebration dates like July 2 and July 6. As such, individual route planning and travel time awareness are more important than ever.
Final Word: A Roadmap for Safer Holiday Travel
This Independence Day, Americans won’t just be celebrating freedom—they’ll be navigating one of the year’s most chaotic traffic stretches. Whether heading to beach towns, national parks, or family BBQs, millions will be behind the wheel. But the difference between a joyful trip and a miserable slog comes down to timing, preparation, and flexibility.
Plan wisely. Leave early. Stay safe. And don’t forget to keep the cooler handy—you may need it.
America on the Move: Why July 4th 2025 Will Be the Busiest Travel Week in U.S. History
As Independence Day 2025 approaches, the U.S. travel landscape is set to break historic records. According to updated forecasts from AAA and transportation analytics firm INRIX, more than 72.2 million Americans are expected to travel 50 miles or more during the nine-day holiday period from June 28 to July 6. That’s 1.7 million more than last year, and a staggering 7 million more than pre-pandemic levels in 2019.
This isn’t just a travel spike. It’s a full-blown national migration—a heatwave of wanderlust, fueled by summer vibes, strong consumer confidence, and the unbeatable emotional pull of a July 4th celebration.
The Open Road Reigns Supreme
Despite the rise in airfare costs and airline delays, the overwhelming majority—61.6 million Americans—will be hitting the highways. Road travel continues to dominate thanks to convenience, flexibility, and affordability. It’s also a signal that domestic travel is still king, with many Americans opting for beach towns, lake houses, and backyard BBQs over international getaways.
For families, a road trip offers control: no security lines, no baggage fees, and plenty of snacks. Plus, with fuel prices slightly lower than last summer, even cross-state drives seem more doable.
However, don’t expect a smooth ride. INRIX warns that congestion levels will be extreme, especially on July 2, July 3, and July 6, with travel times in some metro areas expected to increase by over 67%. Afternoon hours will be the worst, while early morning remains the safest bet to avoid gridlock. Category 2024 Results 2025 Forecast Total Travelers ~70.9 million ~72.2 million (+1.7 M; +2.4%) Road Travelers 60.6 million 61.6 million (+1 M; +1.7%) Air Travelers 5.74 million 5.84 million (+0.1 M; +1.7%) Other Modes (bus/train/cruise) 4.6 million 4.78 million (+0.18 M; +3.9%) Peak Road Travel Days July 3 & 7 July 2, 3 & 6/7 Worst Road Times (day) N/A Midday–afternoon on peak days Traffic Delay Increases Up to +67% in metros Similar or rising delays forecasted
Airports Won’t Be Quiet Either
While roads will be packed, airports are bracing for volume spikes too. An estimated 5.84 million travelers will fly this holiday week—a 1.4% increase from 2024, and a solid 12% jump over pre-pandemic 2019 levels.
High demand and tight capacity mean full flights, crowded terminals, and higher-than-usual ticket prices. Passengers are advised to arrive earlier than usual, especially in major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago O’Hare, and Dallas-Fort Worth. With summer storms frequently delaying flights, airlines are also on alert for schedule disruptions and logistical nightmares.
If you’re flying, pack your patience—and maybe a power bank.
Trains, Buses, and Cruises Rebound
Not to be forgotten, nearly 4.78 million travelers will take alternative transportation such as trains, buses, or cruises. This marks a 7.4% jump from last year, showing that group travel and leisurely alternatives are making a strong comeback.
Amtrak, Greyhound, and regional carriers are all scaling up operations. Meanwhile, the cruise industry, once battered by the pandemic, is riding a wave of recovery. Port cities like Miami, Galveston, and Los Angeles are reporting full bookings and surging demand.
Metro Congestion: Cities to Watch
INRIX also released detailed metro-area forecasts, and the pain points are clear.
Atlanta to Birmingham on June 29 and Savannah to Atlanta on July 6 will face heavy jams.
will face heavy jams. Los Angeles to San Diego on June 28 and returns from Las Vegas on July 6 will be brutal.
will be brutal. New York, Boston, Chicago, and DC all show sharp congestion patterns, particularly around traditional vacation destinations like the Jersey Shore, Hyannis, and the Poconos.
If you’re traveling through these zones, plan strategically and use real-time traffic apps.
Why the Surge? Here’s What’s Driving It
Several forces are fueling this historic travel volume:
Economic Confidence : Rising employment and stable interest rates have Americans feeling optimistic. People are more willing to spend on leisure and experiences.
: Rising employment and stable interest rates have Americans feeling optimistic. People are more willing to spend on leisure and experiences. Pent-Up Demand : Many skipped trips in spring due to inflation or weather. Now, they’re ready to hit the road and make up for lost time.
: Many skipped trips in spring due to inflation or weather. Now, they’re ready to hit the road and make up for lost time. Flexible Schedules : Hybrid work and extended school breaks are giving families more flexibility to travel during off-peak hours.
: Hybrid work and extended school breaks are giving families more flexibility to travel during off-peak hours. Expanded Travel Window: AAA’s new nine-day holiday window (adopted in 2024) allows more staggered travel—reducing weekend bottlenecks but stretching traffic across more days.
The combination of these factors has created the perfect storm for travel intensity.
Travel Tips to Survive the Surge
If you’re one of the 72 million getting away this July 4th, a few smart choices can make a huge difference:
Leave Early : Avoid peak travel hours (12 PM – 7 PM), especially on July 2, 3, and 6.
: Avoid peak travel hours (12 PM – 7 PM), especially on July 2, 3, and 6. Pack Essentials : Snacks, chargers, water, and even games help ease the stress of delays.
: Snacks, chargers, water, and even games help ease the stress of delays. Use Apps : INRIX, Google Maps, and Waze offer real-time traffic updates and alternate routes.
: INRIX, Google Maps, and Waze offer real-time traffic updates and alternate routes. Avoid Risky Routes : Know your city’s worst corridors and, if possible, take scenic detours.
: Know your city’s worst corridors and, if possible, take scenic detours. Buckle Up: Safety first. Holiday weekends see a rise in traffic incidents. Stay alert, slow down, and move over for emergency responders.
The Emotional Pull of July Fourth Travel
This holiday is more than fireworks and flags. It’s about reconnection.
The Fourth of July holds deep emotional weight for millions of Americans. It’s about freedom, tradition, and togetherness. That’s why people brave the traffic, endure the delays, and spend hard-earned cash. It’s about grandparents hugging grandkids, friends gathering at the lake, and neighbors bonding over a grill.
In an increasingly digital, fast-paced world, these shared rituals matter. They restore us. They remind us who we are.
Final Thoughts
July 4th, 2025, will go down as one of the busiest travel holidays in American history. Roads will be packed. Airports will be full. But behind every trip is a story—a celebration of independence, yes, but also of connection.
So plan ahead. Be patient. And embrace the ride. Because whether you’re heading to a beach, a backyard, or just the next town over, this Independence Day is your chance to be part of something big—a nation on the move, together again.
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AAA Expects Millions to Travel, Including 1.6M from Tennessee
AAA projects 72.2 million Americans will travel domestically during the Independence Day holiday period (Saturday, June 28th to Sunday, July 6th). This represents an increase of 1.7 million travelers (2.4%) over last year and 7 million more than in 2019. AAA responded to nearly 700,000 roadside assistance calls nationwide during last year’s holiday period for issues like dead batteries, flat tires, and empty gas tanks. Gas prices are likely to fluctuate before Independence Day. The national average is currently $3.21. That is approximately 24 cents per gallon less than last year’s holiday. Nearly 4.78 million people will travel by bus, train, or cruise, marking a 7.4% rise over lastyear. Cruising continues to fuel this growth season in peak Alaska cruise season. Check out the 9 Best Cruise destinations for your next Independence Day adventure. AAA’S Top Independence Day Destinations for July 4th are the most sought-after travel spots for the holiday.
To better reflect holiday travel trends, AAA’s forecast now accounts for two weekends, capturing extended trips and varied departure schedules.
Tennessee Travel Trends
Tennessee travel is expected to reach historic levels, with 1.6 million Tennesseans hitting the road, skies, and rails – that’s up 30,000 (or 1.9%) from last year.
Driving: Almost 1.5 million Tennesseans will take a road trip, an increase of 1.8% over last year.
Almost 1.5 million Tennesseans will take a road trip, an increase of 1.8% over last year. Flying: More than 72,000 Tennesseans will fly domestically, almost the same as last year.
More than 72,000 Tennesseans will fly domestically, almost the same as last year. Other Modes: More than 73,000 Tennesseans will take buses, trains, or cruises, an increase of 5.5% compared to last year.
Tennessee Independence Day Travelers Auto Air Other Total 2025 1.5 million 72,332 73,371 1.62 million 2024 1.4 million 72,073 69,540 1.59 million 2019 1.3 million 63,856 73,370 1.46 million
“Independence Day is one of the most popular times for travel, with Americans eager to take advantage of summer vacation opportunities,” said Debbie Haas, Vice President of AAA Travel. “This year, we’re seeing strong demand for road trips, flights, and cruises, especially with the holiday falling on a Friday. This is allowing travelers to extend their getaways and make lasting memories with loved ones.”
How Americans Are Traveling This Independence Day
By Car:
AAA estimates 61.6 million Americans will drive—a 2.2% increase from last year and the highest number ever recorded. 1.3 million more road travelers are expected compared to 2024.
Drivers should prepare their vehicles in advance, as AAA responded to nearly 700,000 roadside assistance calls nationwide during last year’s holiday period for issues like dead batteries, flat tires, and empty gas tanks.
Gas prices are likely to fluctuate before Independence Day. Last week, oil prices surged in response to Israel’s strikes on Iran, increasing gasoline production costs. While analysts suggest this may be a short-term reaction, it’s too early to know whether prices will stabilize before the holiday. The national average is currently $3.21. That is approximately 24 cents per gallon less than last year’s holiday. Visit GasPrices.AAA.com for the latest gas price averages.
Road Trip Inspiration: Take a road trip to one of the 10 Best National Parks to Visit in Summer on AAA Trip Canvas.
By Air:
Air travel is reaching record-breaking numbers nationwide, with 5.84 million people flying, a 1.4% increase over last year’s previous high. This figure exclusively represents domestic leisure travel, counting complete round-trip itineraries as a single trip. This differs from TSA data, which tracks each individual airport screening separately and includes both domestic and international travel.
AAA data shows round-trip domestic flights averaging $810, up 4% from 2024. Travelers booking last-minute can find better deals by flying midweek (Tuesdays or Wednesdays).
Air Travel Inspiration: Need family-friendly ideas? Explore the 17 Best Vacation Spots for Families on AAA Trip Canvas.
By Other Modes:
Nearly 4.78 million people will travel by bus, train, or cruise, marking a 7.4% rise over last year. Cruising continues to fuel this growth, particularly in peak Alaska cruise season.
Cruise Inspiration: Check out the 9 Best Alaska Cruises for Every Traveler for your next adventure.
AAA’s Top Independence Day Destinations
AAA booking data reveals the most sought-after travel spots for July 4th:
DOMESTIC INTERNATIONAL ORLANDO, FL VANCOUVER, CANADA SEATTLE, WA ROME, ITALY NEW YORK, NY PARIS, FRANCE ANCHORAGE, AK LONDON, ENGLAND FORT LAUDERDALE, FL BARCELONA, SPAIN HONOLULU, HI DUBLIN, IRELAND DENVER, CO AMSTERDAM, NETHERLANDS MIAMI, FL CALGARY, CANADA BOSTON, MA ATHENS, GREECE ATLANTA, GA LISBON, PORTUGAL
These destinations are based on AAA booking data for the Independence Day travel period. Cruises, beaches, and fireworks are the main motivators for travelers heading to these cities. Alaska cruises are in peak season, Florida and Hawaii are in high demand for their resorts and attractions, and New York and Boston host two of the most popular fireworks shows in the nation.
Internationally, Vancouver tops the list for its mild weather and perfect blend of urban excitement and natural beauty. This is followed by Europe’s most in-demand cities like Rome and Paris.
Best & Worst Times to Drive
According to INRIX, expect heavy road congestion on Wednesday, July 2 and Sunday, July 6th. The busiest times will be afternoons, while mornings offer the best escape from traffic.
Ideal Travel Times:
Worst hours: Afternoon to early evening
Afternoon to early evening Best hours: Early morning
Drivers should remain alert for construction delays, crashes, and severe weather. AAA reminds all motorists to Slow Down, Move Over for emergency responders assisting roadside travelers.
Best and Worst Times to Travel by Car Date Worst Travel Time Best Travel Time Saturday, Jun 28 12:00 PM – 5:00 PM Before 10:00 AM Sunday, Jun 29 2:00 PM – 4:00 PM Before 11:00 AM Monday, Jun 30 2:00 PM – 6:00 PM Before 12:00 PM Tuesday, Jul 01 3:00 PM – 6:00 PM Before 2:00 PM Wednesday, Jul 02 12:00 PM – 9:00 PM Before 12:00 PM Thursday, Jul 03 2:00 PM – 6:00 PM Before 12:00 PM Friday, Jul 04 12:00 PM – 7:00 PM Before 12:00 PM Saturday, Jul 05 11:00 AM – 5:00 PM Before 11:00 AM Sunday, Jul 06 12:00 PM – 6:00 PM Before 11:00 AM
“We encourage travelers to consider purchasing travel insurance to protect their plans,” said Haas. “Unexpected disruptions like flight delays, lost luggage, or medical emergencies can turn a dream vacation into a stressful experience. Travel insurance provides peace of mind, ensuring you can enjoy your Independence Day getaway with confidence.”
Looking for a last-minute rental car, hotel, or flight? Visit AAA.com/travel to lock in your plans or connect with a AAA Travel Advisor for expert guidance on crafting a trip tailored to your interests.
Holiday Forecast Methodology
Travel Forecast
In cooperation with AAA, S&P Global Market Intelligence (SPGMI) developed a unique methodology to forecast actual domestic travel volumes. The economic variables used to forecast travel for the current holiday are leveraged from SPGMI’s proprietary databases.
These data include macroeconomic drivers such as employment, output, household net worth, asset prices including stock indices, interest rates, housing market indicators, and variables related to travel and tourism, including gasoline prices, airline travel, and hotel stays. AAA and SPGMI have quantified holiday travel volumes going back to 2000.
Historical travel volume estimates come from MMGY’s TRAVEL PERFORMANCE/MonitorSM. The PERFORMANCE/MonitorSM is a comprehensive study measuring the travel behavior of U.S. residents. MMGY contacts over 50,000 U.S. households each month to obtain detailed travel data, resulting in the unique ability to estimate visitor volume and spending, identify trends, forecast U.S. travel behavior and position brand, all after the trips have been taken.
The travel forecast is reported in person-trips. In particular, AAA and SPGMI forecast the total U.S. holiday travel volume and expected mode of transportation. The travel forecast presented in this report was prepared the week of May 19th, 2025.
Because AAA holiday forecasts focus on domestic leisure travel only, comparisons to TSA passenger screening numbers should not be made. TSA data includes all passengers traveling on both domestic and international routes, whether traveling for work or leisure. Additionally, TSA screens passengers each time they enter secured areas of the airport, therefore each one-way trip is counted as a passenger tally.
AAA focuses on person-trips, which include the full round-trip travel itinerary. As a result, direct comparisons of AAA forecast volumes and daily TSA screenings represent different factors.
Independence Day Holiday Travel Period
The Independence Day holiday travel period is defined as the nine-day period from Saturday, June 28th to Sunday, July 6th. Historically, this holiday period included only one weekend. The expanded travel window was instituted starting in 2024 with historical results calculated back to 2019 using the new nine-day period.
About AAA
Started in 1902 by automotive enthusiasts who wanted to chart a path for better roads in America and advocate for safe mobility, AAA has transformed into one of North America’s largest membership organizations.
Today, AAA delivers exceptional roadside assistance, helps travelers plan their dream vacations and adventures, offers exclusive member discounts and benefits, and provides trusted financial and insurance services – all to enhance the life journey of our 65+ million members across North America, including nearly 58 million in the United States.
To learn more about all AAA offers or become a member, visit AAA.com.
About S&P Global
S&P Global (NYSE: SPGI) provides essential intelligence. We enable governments, businesses, and individuals with the right data, expertise, and connected technology so that they can make decisions with conviction.
From helping our customers assess new investments to guiding them through ESG and energy transition across supply chains, we unlock new opportunities, solve challenges, and accelerate progress for the world. We are widely sought after by many of the world’s leading organizations to provide credit ratings, benchmarks, analytics, and workflow solutions in the global capital, commodity, and automotive markets.
With every one of our offerings, we help the world’s leading organizations plan for tomorrow, today. For more information, visit www.spglobal.com .
About MMGY
MMGY Global is the world’s leading integrated marketing firm specializing in the travel, hospitality, and lifestyle industries. With operating brands around the world, the award-winning organization maintains a global communications practice in all marketing channels, serving many of the world’s premier travel and tourism brands.
As a company dedicated to the travel industry, MMGY Global strives to create a connected, inclusive, and peaceful world by promoting travel as a cultural bridge of understanding. For more information, visit www.mmgyglobal.com.
About INRIX
Founded in 2004, INRIX pioneered intelligent mobility solutions by transforming big data from connected devices and vehicles into mobility insights. This revolutionary approach enabled INRIX to become one of the leading providers of data and analytics into how people move. By empowering cities, businesses, and people with valuable insights, INRIX is helping to make the world smarter, safer, and greener.
With partners and solutions spanning across the entire mobility ecosystem, INRIX is uniquely positioned at the intersection of technology and transportation – whether it’s keeping road users safe, improving traffic signal timing to reduce delay and greenhouse gasses, optimizing last mile delivery, or helping uncover market insights. Learn more at INRIX.com.