How Trump pivoted from bombing Iran to announcing a ceasefire
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Diverging Reports Breakdown
Trump plays deft hand with Iran-Israel ceasefire but doubts remain
US President Donald Trump has turned his flair for social media into diplomatic deftness. Israel, Iran and Trump himself all declared victory after 12 days of conflict that culminated Saturday in the United States bombing Iran’s key nuclear sites. Trump also appeared to offer incentives to sanctions-bound Iran by suggesting an easing of US pressure on China to stop buying Iranian oil. A prolonged US military campaign “had the potential to really fracture President Trump’s own base of support,” said Jonathan Panikoff, a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council. But now, “my guess is the majority of his MAGA and other Republican base will stay relatively unified, even if they were unthrilled in some quarters,” he said. “I don’t think the Israeli government was able to sustain a long-term war, but I think the main factor here was President Trump,” said Will Todman, a Senior Fellow at the Middle East program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.
Israel, Iran and Trump himself all declared victory after 12 days of conflict that culminated Saturday in the United States bombing Iran’s key nuclear sites.
After facing criticism — even within his base — for breaking his campaign promises against military intervention abroad, Trump was able to show a quick way out, and to portray himself, despite the bombing, as a peacemaker.
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“I don’t think the Israeli government was able to sustain a long-term war, but I think the main factor here was President Trump. He did not want to see a new war in the region break out under his watch,” said Will Todman, a senior fellow at the Middle East program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.
“That is what changed the calculation for Israel and for Iran as well.”
Trump startled even close aides and allies by announcing the ceasefire on social media late Monday — the middle of the night in the Middle East — just after Iran fired missiles at a US base in Qatar, in what appeared to be a choreographed response as the rockets were easily shot down.
Trump chose not to retaliate against Iran and on Tuesday, returned to his electronic bully pulpit to urge Israel to abort new attacks on Iran.
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Iran needed an off-ramp as it suffered its worst assault since the 1980-88 war with Iraq. Trump also appeared to offer incentives to sanctions-bound Iran by suggesting an easing of US pressure on China to stop buying Iranian oil.
Israel’s military, while proving itself to be the region’s strongest, has been stretched by campaigns in Gaza, Syria and Lebanon, and with Iranian strikes this month, the Israeli population endured the most prolonged, deadly air attacks seen in decades.
After Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu hailed Trump’s intervention, the president’s warning Tuesday likely also showed him the limits to US support, Todman said.
– What was achieved? –
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Trump hailed his intervention as a monumental success, although critics have long warned that an attack could make Iran rush, more clandestinely, to a nuclear bomb.
While Trump claimed Iran’s nuclear program was “obliterated,” a classified report found that the US bombing did not destroy the core parts of the three nuclear sites, according to CNN and The New York Times.
Brian Katulis, a senior fellow at the Middle East Institute, said it’s too early to know if the ceasefire would hold, either.
He said that Gulf Arab powers, led by well-connected Qatar, did the hard work of quiet diplomacy as they sought a return to calm in their region.
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“Trump vocally used his troll power to try to restrain the actions of Israel and Iran, but that matters less compared with the role that these countries continuously play,” Katulis said of Gulf Arab states.
Katulis, who worked on the Middle East for former president Bill Clinton, said the Trump administration’s tactical military operations, combined with “a heavy dose of strategic communications” confused Americans and global actors alike “about what it is we’re actually trying to get done.”
– Showing heft at home –
One area where Trump’s diplomacy had clear — if short-term — benefits was at home.
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A prolonged US military campaign “had the potential to really fracture President Trump’s own base of support,” said Jonathan Panikoff, a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council.
But now, “my guess is the majority of his MAGA and other Republican base will stay relatively unified, even if they were unthrilled in some quarters,” he said.
While traditional hawks of Trump’s Republican Party largely cheered the Iran strikes, they were widely but not universally denounced by rival Democrats.
Annelle Sheline, who resigned from the State Department to protest policies under former president Joe Biden and is now at the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft, said it was critical for Trump to enforce the ceasefire.
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She noted Israel has bombed Lebanon and Gaza during truces, saying Netanyahu believed he enjoyed “America’s unconditional support.”
“Trump demonstrated that he can rein in Israel when he chooses to do so. Now he must do the same to insist on a ceasefire in Gaza,” she said.
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Trump pivots from budget bill to big, beautiful Middle East settlement
U.S. President Donald Trump used bombast in Capitol Hill negotiations and bombs in Iran to try and force a Middle East negotiation. It remains unclear whether the Iran-Israel ceasefire will hold. The status of Iran’s nuclear-weapons project remains the great unknown in the region. A broader peace that could emerge might involve an end to Iran’s nuclear- weapons dreams and cessation of the months-long fighting between Israel and Hamas in Gaza; and at least a brief interregnum in the years-long tensions between various players heretofore determined to force the extermination of the Jewish state. Still, the potential of a potential peace is flying away as the 19th-century poet Emily Dickinson wrote in one of her best-loved verses, “the thing that has the feathers around it is also the great hope of the future’“. The U.S.-Israel ceasefire, announced, celebrated, and perhaps actually shaped by Mr. Trump – came far more swiftly than any progress in the U.N. Security Council meeting.
U.S. President Donald Trump’s effort to win what he calls a “big, beautiful” budget bill that cuts spending and taxes is facing headwinds as his self-imposed July 4th deadline approaches. But that struggle now is in the far background as the shape of a bigger, more beautiful, Middle East settlement may seem, if not in immediate reach but at least in the realm of the imaginable.
Though dismissed by Trump critics and some Middle East figures as unrealistic, that has been the long-term goal – the seemingly unrealizable dream and yet the persistent hope – of Mr. Trump since he first became president in 2017.
The ceasefire between Israel and Iran after 12 days of fighting – announced, celebrated, and perhaps actually shaped by Mr. Trump – came far more swiftly than any progress in the U.S. Senate, which is still struggling to craft a version of the spending legislation that the House of Representatives passed last month.
Mr. Trump used bombast in the Capitol Hill negotiations and bombs to force a Middle East negotiation and perhaps an end to Iran’s nuclear project, though preliminary damage assessments are far more modest, suggesting that the Massive Ordnance Penetrator bombs didn’t collapse the Fordow site’s underground buildings and delayed Iran’s work by only about six months.
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After Iran’s missile strike on an American installation in Qatar that proved to be not deadly but a dud, it may be possible to envision a broader peace rather than the broader war that seemed to be imminent.
However, it remains unclear whether the Iran-Israel ceasefire will hold. Mr. Trump, employing an epithet, lashed out at Israel in particular Tuesday morning for violations of the truce. “I’m not happy with Iran,” he said, “but I’m really not happy with Israel.”
There also is no certainty that Iran won’t still mount retaliatory actions – symbolic or deadly, consisting of military action or cyberattacks – against Americans at home or American interests abroad. U.S. authorities have placed the country and its military installations on alert.
Though Middle East breakthroughs repeatedly have disappeared like desert mirages, a broader peace that could emerge might involve an end to Iran’s nuclear-weapons dreams; the cessation of the months-long fighting between Israel and Hamas in Gaza; and at least a brief interregnum in the years-long tensions between various players heretofore determined to force the extermination of the Jewish state.
At the same time, the status of Iran’s nuclear-weapons project remains the great unknown in the region. The preliminary damage report, which the White House swiftly sought to discredit as an effort to demean the President and diminish the effect of Operation Midnight Hammer, raised questions of whether the American assault on the country’s nuclear facilities and Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan actually eliminated Iran’s effort to produce such a weapon.
At the heart of that question is whether the bunker-busting bombs delivered by American B-2 stealth bombers left supplies of uranium, which may have been distributed to remote sites across Iran, undisturbed – and whether sufficient numbers of scientists, engineers and other nuclear personnel survived to begin the project anew.
One of the immutable truths of the atomic age, which began in 1945 with the two bombs dropped on Japan, is that the knowledge to construct a nuclear weapon is forever preserved in the minds and the engineering capacity of humans to construct such a weapon.
Even so, Mr. Trump has long imagined a massive Middle East settlement – a desirable outcome, to be sure, though perhaps delusional. He believes that the Abraham Accords, which his first administration brokered, marked the first step toward such a relaxation of the tensions that have roiled the region for more than a century. The 2020 agreement normalized diplomatic relations between Israel and several Arab states, including the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain, and led to subsequent accords with Morocco and Sudan.
U.S. President Donald Trump on Tuesday used a profanity to criticize both Iran and Israel for what he said were violations of a ceasefire between the two adversaries. Reuters
If hope is, as the 19th-century American poet Emily Dickinson wrote in one of her best-loved verses, “the thing with feathers,” it is also the thing that has the great potential of flying away. Still, as she wrote around 1861, as the Civil War was beginning, “it perches in the soul.”
It is impossible to know what perches in the soul of Mr. Trump, who is famously bereft of that sort of introspection and contemplation. Nor what resides in the hardened heart of many Middle East combatants, beginning with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and including a murderers’ row of Israel’s opponents, from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran’s supreme leader, to the commanders of its proxy warriors in Hamas and Hezbollah.
Another cautionary element: Many players in Middle East politics and combat aren’t inclined to agree to a cessation of hostilities while the political and geographical destiny of the Palestinians is unresolved. Israel’s hard-right political faction, which supports residential settlements and not peace settlements, holds the balance of power in Israel.
Mr. Trump clearly has channelled Theodore Roosevelt, a 20th-century American president with impetuous impulses (issuing executive orders establishing forest reserves in six western states) and a taste for exceeding the contemporary limits on presidential action (saying of his actions in the Panama Canal, “I took the Canal Zone and let Congress debate”).
Mr. Trump, with the blustering style and the “Trump always chickens out” inclination that has made “TACO” one of the memes of his presidency, sometimes seems to personify the very opposite of the Roosevelt maxim: “Speak softly and carry a big stick.”
But he knows that the 26th President mediated the 1905 Peace of Portsmouth that ended the war between Japan and Russia and was rewarded with the Nobel Peace Prize. Mr. Trump and many of his supporters believe, to the wonder and consternation of the President’s critics, he deserves that honour – an award not ordinarily presented for the use of bombs and missiles to promote peace but, then again, Mr. Trump prides himself on the unconventional.
Donald Trump’s F-word drop and his discovery of some hard truths about the world
U.S. President Donald Trump used a profanity to criticize both Iran and Israel for what he said were violations of a ceasefire between the two adversaries. Trump may have been simply expressing intense frustration about a long-running conflict that is intractable, destructive, bloody and, yes, incredibly frustrating on a geopolitical scale. But Mr. Trump’s reaction to the world around him – particularly his most energetic responses – are never about the world, but rather about the centre of the universe: Donald J. Trump. The more outrageous his actions, the more he expands the comfy cocoon of the Tyson Zone around himself. This he hadn’t done before; this was a surprise. There was something in this reaction that mattered, and it was not just the F-word. It was the fact that the President was discovering in real time that some forces in the world will not be bent to his will, no matter how badly he wants to claim a big win. It is a sign of how far he has come in his career.
The sportswriter Bill Simmons coined the phrase “the Tyson Zone” to describe the rarified state of being – named after Mike Tyson – in which a celebrity’s behaviour becomes so unglued that nothing you hear about them seems impossible anymore. It was almost 20 years ago in his ESPN column that he originated the idea, but Donald Trump was a little later in discovering the powerful sorcery of occupying the Tyson Zone in politics.
He does and says whatever he wants to such extremes that none of it shocks or even matters anymore. The more outrageous his actions, the more he expands the comfy cocoon of the Tyson Zone around himself.
And yet, somehow, the F-word was a new bridge to cross. This he hadn’t done before; this was a surprise. There was something in this reaction that mattered.
How Trump’s Israel-Iran ceasefire agreement came together in a chaotic 48 hours
Trump pivots from budget bill to big, beautiful Middle East settlement
On Tuesday as he prepared to leave for a NATO summit in the Netherlands, Mr. Trump faced a barrage of questions about the ceasefire he had declared the previous night between Israel and Iran, which had been breached immediately and explosively.
“We basically have two countries that have been fighting so long and so hard that they don’t know what the fuck they’re doing,” Mr. Trump snarled, physically leaning into the end of the sentence. He finished by barking “Do you understand that?” at the reporters crowding around, before stalking away to his helicopter.
It read like a true temper tantrum: naked, overwhelmed, a bubbling over of the insides.
On one hand, Mr. Trump may have been simply expressing intense frustration about a long-running conflict that is intractable, destructive, bloody and, yes, incredibly frustrating on a geopolitical scale.
There appeared to be an element of aggrieved surprise, as though he had thought he could quell a roiling sea just by saying so. He didn’t seem to have accounted for 75 years of conflict in the Middle East, burning even hotter in the past few years, and still more in the past couple of weeks.
But Mr. Trump’s reaction to the world around him – particularly his most energetic responses – are never about the world, but rather about the centre of the universe: Donald J. Trump. What we saw on Tuesday was the President discovering in real time that some forces in the world will not be bent to his will, no matter how badly he wants to claim a big win.
Around 1 a.m. ET on Monday, Mr. Trump posted on his social-media network, Truth Social, “THE CEASEFIRE IS NOW IN EFFECT. PLEASE DO NOT VIOLATE IT!” The prim, limp politeness of that was overshadowed in strangeness only by the way he signed it, like an official, enforceable order, “DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES!”
By the time day broke in Washington, the ceasefire had been breached and Israel and Iran were each blaming the other. During the same press gaggle in which he launched that expletive, the President said he “didn’t like the fact that Israel unloaded right after we made the deal.”
Mr. Trump thinks of himself as the consummate dealmaker. And here he was trying to broker the biggest deal imaginable – what could be more consequential or difficult, after all, than peace in the Middle East – and the whole world could see it failing.
It’s plain that Mr. Trump sees the ability to end conflicts as a demonstration of authority and negotiating prowess. He has repeatedly asserted that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine would not have happened on his watch, and in the last several days, he’s taken to listing off all the accomplishments for which he deserves a Nobel Peace Prize.
On Monday, a Ukrainian parliamentarian who had nominated Mr. Trump for the Nobel for brokering negotiations between Moscow and Kyiv withdrew the nomination. Then a Republican congressman stepped in on Tuesday to nominate him for the hours-old ceasefire.
Re-posting that nomination letter was among the manic blizzard of social-media activity Mr. Trump mashed out aboard Air Force One as it hummed toward The Hague, following his meltdown on the White House lawn. He posted a praise-filled message from the NATO Secretary-General, he wrote a long tirade that combined the alleged stupidity of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez with a flex about his own cognitive testing, and he shared multiple posts about his approval ratings and various brownnosers declaring he should win the Nobel Peace Prize.
In the decade that he’s dominated world news, Mr. Trump has said and done so many things that breach unthinkable boundaries that it’s not even worth trying to count them. But he’s never dropped an F-word before.
Open this photo in gallery: By the time day broke in Washington, the ceasefire between Israel and Iran had been breached.Kevin Lamarque/Reuters
Consider how many times the President – who grew up as a boy with a rich and ruthless father who paved New York City for him, before he became a rich and ruthless man himself – has been told “no” in his life. How often has he not gotten something he really wanted? How many times in the past 10 years? (Once at least, in November, 2020, and we know how that went.) How many times since election night last fall?
Later in the day on Tuesday, Iran and Israel confirmed the ceasefire, and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu pronounced that “Donald Trump is the greatest friend that Israel has ever had in the White House.” By the time he gaggled with reporters aboard his plane, Mr. Trump seemed to be feeling more optimistic and in control.
“Israel, as you know, turned back. They didn’t do that raid this morning,” he said. He added, “So the ceasefire is very much in effect and I think we’re going to keep it there for a very long time.”
Now, the President figured he was on his way to NATO to “solve a new set of problems.“ He answered more questions, and then when he’d had enough, he turned away from the reporters to walk back to his private section of the plane.
“Do you think you’ll get the Nobel Peace Prize now, sir?” a reporter called after him.
Mr. Trump mustn’t have heard her, because he didn’t turn back.
FBI pivots resources to counterterror, cybersecurity efforts amid Iran retaliation threat: source
The FBI is pivoting resources to cybersecurity and counterterrorism efforts, a source familiar with the matter tells Fox News Digital. Iran fired short-range and medium-range ballistic missiles in an attack against a U.S. base in Qatar on Monday. Iran was responding to the American attack on its nuclear facilities that took place on Saturday. The Department of Homeland Security issued a bulletin on Sunday warning Americans that cyberattacks are likely following the American strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities. The FBI said it continually assesses its resources to respond to pressing threats.
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The FBI is pivoting resources to cybersecurity and counterterrorism efforts, a source familiar with the matter tells Fox News Digital.
The FBI’s movement of agency resources comes after Iran fired short-range and medium-range ballistic missiles in an attack against a U.S. base in Qatar on Monday. Iran was responding to the American attack on its nuclear facilities that took place on Saturday.
ABC News first reported on the FBI development.
Following the U.S. attack against Iran’s nuclear facilities, Iranian state television declared every American citizen or soldier in the Middle East a legitimate target.
IRAN ATTACKS US BASE IN QATAR, TRUMP THANKS TEHRAN FOR ADVANCE NOTICE AND ‘VERY WEAK RESPONSE’
In a statement, the FBI told Fox News Digital it continually assesses its resources to respond to pressing threats.
“The FBI does not comment on specific operational adjustments or personnel decisions. However, we continuously assess and realign our resources to respond to the most pressing threats to our national security and to ensure the safety of the American people,” an FBI official told Fox News Digital.
US WARNS OF GROWING THREAT TO AMERICANS AT HOME AS IRAN WEIGHS RETALIATION
The Department of Homeland Security issued a bulletin on Sunday warning Americans that cyberattacks are likely following the U.S. striking Iran’s nuclear facilities.
“The ongoing Iran conflict is causing a heightened threat environment in the United States. Low-level cyber attacks against US networks by pro-Iranian hacktivists are likely, and cyber actors affiliated with the Iranian government may conduct attacks against US networks. Iran also has a long-standing commitment to target US Government officials it views as responsible for the death of an Iranian military commander killed in January 2020. The likelihood of violent extremists in the Homeland independently mobilizing to violence in response to the conflict would likely increase if Iranian leadership issued a religious ruling calling for retaliatory violence against targets in the Homeland,” the bulletin read.
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President Donald Trump announced Monday that Israel and Iran had agreed to a ceasefire, but they exchanged missiles before the ceasefire went into effect.
Fox News’ Morgan Phillips, Jennifer Griffin and Liz Friden contributed to this report.
Will the Iran-Israel ceasefire hold? What to know as Trump lashes out
The world is watching anxiously to see if a ceasefire between Iran and Israel that was supposed to go into effect at midnight Washington, D.C. time on June 24 will hold. President Donald Trump announced just after 6 p.m. on June 23 that the two countries reached a ceasefire agreement that would start at midnight EDT June 24 and last 12 hours. Israel and Iran have traded accusations of firing at each other in the hours leading up to the ceasefire, and then violating the agreement in the overnight hours when most Americans were asleep. Trump lashed out at Israel in a discussion with reporters in the morning, accusing Israel of dropping “the biggest load we’ve seen” on its enemy just after agreeing to the deal. Iran denied launching any missiles, and said that Israel’s bombings lasted for an hour-and-a-half beyond the ceasefire time. Israel said it retaliated against ceasefire violations; Iran fired a retaliatory missile at 12:06 a.m., six minutes after the ceasefire should have gone into effect.
While it’s common for warring countries to violate ceasefires in their early hours, tensions are running higher since the United States got involved with the Iran-Israel conflict last weekend, sparking fears around a wider conflict while President Donald Trump called for peace.
Iran and Israel have traded accusations of firing at each other in the hours leading up to the ceasefire, and then violating the agreement in the overnight hours when most Americans were asleep.
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More: Angry Trump says both sides broke ceasefire, tells Israel to ‘calm down’: Live updates
Here’s what we know about the situation in the Middle East.
Iran-Israel ceasefire should have taken effect at midnight
Trump announced just after 6 p.m. on June 23 that the two countries reached a ceasefire agreement that would start at midnight EDT June 24 and last 12 hours. Then, by noon on June 24, after the two sides had cooled off, he said the war would officially be over.
U.S. President Donald Trump speaks to reporters before boarding the Marine One presidential helicopter and departing the White House on June 24, 2025 in Washington, DC. Less than 12 hours after announcing a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, Trump is traveling to the Netherlands to attend the NATO leaders’ summit.
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Israel and Iran accused of last-minute attacks
Israel “forcefully attacked in the heart of Tehran,” just four hours before the ceasefire was scheduled to take effect, according to a statement from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s office. The strikes, which happened around 8 p.m. Washington, D.C. time, killed hundreds of Iranian forces, the statement said.
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Also in the hours before the ceasefire went into effect, the Israeli ambulance service said that Iran killed four people in a missile attack that hit a residential building in southern Israel. Iran denied launching any missiles, and said that Israel’s bombings lasted for an hour-and-a-half beyond the ceasefire time.
A drone view shows an impacted residential site, following an early morning missile attack from Iran on Israel, in Be’er Sheva, Israel June 24, 2025. REUTERS/Yonatan Honig
More: Majority of Americans disapprove of US strikes on Iran: New poll
Trump lashed out at Israel in a discussion with reporters in the morning, accusing Israel of dropping “the biggest load we’ve seen” on its enemy just after agreeing to the deal.
“We basically have two countries that have been fighting so long and so hard that they don’t know what the f— they’re doing,” Trump said at the White House before an early morning flight to the NATO summit at The Hague. “You understand that?”
Israel said it retaliated against ceasefire violations
Netanyahu’s office said Iran fired a retaliatory missile at 12:06 a.m. Washington, D.C. time, six minutes after the ceasefire should have gone into effect, and two more at 3:25 a.m. “These missiles were either intercepted or fell in open areas, and caused neither casualties nor damage,” the statement said.
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“In response to Iran’s violations, the Air Force destroyed a radar installation near Tehran,” Netanyahu’s office said. It’s unclear if the attack was scaled back from previous plans.
Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz said earlier on June 24 that he ordered the military to mount major strikes on targets in Tehran in response to what he said were Iranian missiles fired in a “blatant violation” of the ceasefire.
A view of Iranian newspapers, during early hours of ceasefire, in Tehran, Iran, June 24, 2025. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via REUTERS ATTENTION EDITORS – THIS PICTURE WAS PROVIDED BY A THIRD PARTY
More: Where is Iran’s enriched uranium? Questions loom after Trump claims victory.
“I don’t like the fact that Israel went out this morning at all, and I’m going to see if I can stop it,” Trump told reporters at the White House in the morning of June 24.
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Netanyahu’s office said the prime minister talked with Trump and agreed to stop attacking Iran.
Conflict intensified global tensions
The latest conflict began when Israel attacked Iran June 13 and escalated when the United States bombed Iran’s nuclear facilities June 21.
Missile launched from Iran towards Israel is seen from Hebron, in the Israeli-occupied West Bank, amid the Iran-Israel conflict, June 24, 2025. REUTERS/Mussa Qawasma
More: US officials issue warning on heightened threats from Iran
The U.S. Department of Homeland Security warned Americans of a “heightened threat environment” on June 22 that could include attacks on U.S. soil. That fear appeared to dissipate when Iran attacked a United States military base in Qatar June 23, injuring no one.
Where is the uranium?
Still unknown is what will happen to Iran’s enriched uranium, the key ingredient for making a nuclear bomb that Iran says it removed from its nuclear sites before the United States attacked.
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“Significant nuclear materials remain unaccounted for,” said Kelsey Davenport, the Arms Control Association’s director for nonproliferation policy.
Contributing: Reuters; USA TODAY reporters Cybele Mayes-Osterman and Kim Hjelmgaard
This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Will the Iran-Israel ceasefire hold? Early-morning attacks sow doubt