Lloyds flags UK economy ‘deterioration’
Lloyds flags UK economy ‘deterioration’; Elon Musk warns ‘rough quarters’ ahead for Tesla

Lloyds flags UK economy ‘deterioration’; Elon Musk warns ‘rough quarters’ ahead for Tesla

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Tesla’s European sales down a third after Musk warns of ‘rough quarters’ ahead – business live

Tesla’s European sales have slumped 33% during the year so far to 110,000 compared with 165,000 in the first half of 2024. The figures suggest that Tesla is still struggling to emerge from a sales rut in Europe, even after releasing its refreshed Model Y. Elon Musk, whose shares in Tesla have made him the world’s richest man, has also contributed to the decline in sales by backing Europe’s far-right political parties, and briefly allying himself with Donald Trump, who is deeply unpopular across Europe. Tesla shares were down 4% in pre-market trading on Thursday, after Musk said that the electric car pioneer “probably could have a few rough quarters” because of falling earnings as Trump clamps down on the hugely profitable sale of emissions credits to other carmakers. Lloyds boss warns Reeves against hiking taxes on banks as he warns against hiking tax on banks in her autumn budget. Chancellor Rachel Reeves will be in front of the media this afternoon when she announces the latest interest rate decision.

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From 3h ago 09.02 BST Tesla’s European sales down a third in 2025 It is not just British carmakers who are struggling: Tesla’s European sales are down a third this year, as total new car sales across the EU fell by 7% in June. Tesla’s European sales have slumped 33% during the year so far to 110,000 compared with 165,000 in the first half of 2024, according to new data from the European Automobile Manufacturers Association (ACEA), a lobby group. The figures suggest that Tesla is still struggling to emerge from a sales rut in Europe, even after releasing its refreshed Model Y. Elon Musk, whose shares in Tesla have made him the world’s richest man, has also contributed to the decline in sales by backing Europe’s far-right political parties, and briefly allying himself with Donald Trump, who is deeply unpopular across Europe. The US carmaker’s sales across Europe – including the EU, UK, Norway and Switzerland – were down by more than a fifth year-on-year in June, to 35,000. Tesla shares were down 4% in pre-market trading on Thursday, after Musk last night said that the electric car pioneer “probably could have a few rough quarters” because of falling earnings as Trump clamps down on the hugely profitable sale of emissions credits to other carmakers. Media personnel look at the refreshed Tesla Model Y electric car at the newly opened Tesla showroom in Mumbai, India. Photograph: Rafiq Maqbool/AP The UK has been a rare bright spot for Tesla in Europe, with sales only down by 1.3% year-on-year in the first half of the 2025, according to the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders, the British industry’s lobby group. Yet the picture in the EU has been bleak: ACEA’s data show Tesla sales down 40% in June in the EU, and 44% over the course of 2025. Across all of the European markets, Tesla’s share of sales has dropped from 2.4% in 2024 to 1.6% in 2025 – although it may regain some ground as sales of the refreshed Model Y pick up across the continent. Yet rather than physical products bought by consumers, Musk is pinning much of his hopes on future earnings from driverless taxis run by AI. The company has launched a pilot programme in Austin, Texas. Matt Britzman, an equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, an investment platform, said: Elon and the Tesla team failed to ignite a fire on last night’s earnings call. The numbers were objectively poor, but that was already expected, and shares were broadly flat on the initial release. The typical playbook for the past few quarters has been declining fundamentals but enough AI hype to keep investors sleeping at night. Tesla is in a very small cohort of companies with enough growth potential that investors are, for now at least, willing to look past weakening core financials. Share Updated at 09.12 BST

28m ago 11.20 BST Lloyds boss warns Reeves against hiking taxes on banks Kalyeena Makortoff View image in fullscreen Chancellor Rachel Reeves talks with Lloyds Banking Group chief executive Charlie Nunn earlier this month. Photograph: Oli Scarff/PA The boss of Britain’s largest mortgage lender has warned Rachel Reeves that increasing taxes on banks in her autumn budget would damage Labour’s plan for the City of London to power an economic recovery. Charlie Nunn, the chief executive of Lloyds Banking Group, said a rise in bank taxation “wouldn’t be consistent” with the chancellor’s overtures as the government pushes to reboot growth. Against a backdrop of mounting speculation that Reeves could use her autumn budget to announce a fresh round of tax rises, his comments came as the high street bank reported a 17% jump in second-quarter profits. Nunn told journalists on Thursday the bank had not had any discussions with the government about a potential tax rise, and acknowledged that it was ultimately a “political decision”. However, he said that targeting the financial services sector with higher taxes would mark a stark reversal by the chancellor, who last week announced a raft of changes to cut regulation and boost growth across the sector. You can read the full story here: Lloyds boss warns Reeves against hiking taxes on banks as profits rise 17% Read more Share

35m ago 11.12 BST View image in fullscreen The sculpture of an eagle looks out from behind protective construction wrapping on the facade as the Federal Reserve Board Building undergoes both interior and exterior renovations, in Washington, in 2023. Photograph: J Scott Applewhite/AP European Central Bank president Christine Lagarde will be in front of the world’s media this afternoon when she announces the latest interest rate decision, but it might be the Federal Reserve’s Jerome Powell who is having the more nervous wake-up today. That is because the Fed is going to host President Donald Trump for a visit. It is not a social call. Trump has repeatedly expressed his outrage with Powell after the central banker refused to cut interest rates. In response, Trump has zeroed in on a potential weakness for Powell: the over-budget renovation of the Federal Reserve building. The White House claims that the Fed mismanaged funds for renovations, which were approved in 2017 and were estimated to cost $1.9bn in 2019. The costs are now estimated to be closer to $2.5bn. The Associated Press reported: When asked last week if the costly rebuilding could be grounds to fire Powell, Trump said, “I think it is.” “When you spend $2.5bn on, really, a renovation, I think it’s really disgraceful,” Trump said. Fed pushes back on White House claims of extravagant renovations Read more The Fed has felt forced to respond to the accusations, but it is unclear whether Trump will actually follow through on his threat to fire Powell. Given how central banker independence has become prized by global markets – freeing interest rates from nakedly political influence – firing Powell would almost certainly set off market ructions as investors adjusted to the expectation of higher interest rates. Share

1h ago 10.42 BST London’s FTSE 100 reaches new record high The gain this morning on London’s FTSE 100 has pushed it to the latest record high. The peak this morning was 9,158.21 points. Let’s see if it will go higher today. FTSE 100 breaks 9,000-point barrier to reach new high Read more Share

1h ago 10.24 BST View image in fullscreen A Howden Joinery worker manufacturing kitchen products at one of its UK factories. Photograph: Howden Joinery The FTSE 100 has gained 1% midway through the morning session, helped by bumper results from kitchen supplier Howden Joinery and Dettol-to-Durex manufacturer Reckitt Benckiser. They are up 10% and 9.3% respectively. Airtel Africa’s share price is now up 7.5%, while BT has gained 6.7%. Here’s Reuters on the Howden results: Kitchen and interior fittings supplier Howden Joinery reported a rise in first-half profit on Thursday, helped by price hikes and market share gains in a challenging environment. The company’s pre-tax profit rose 4.4% to £117m for the six months through June 2025. And the Wall Street Journal on Reckitt Benckiser: Consumer-goods company Reckitt Benckiser reported market-beating adjusted profit as cost savings paid off and raised its full-year outlook. The UK company on Thursday said first-half adjusted operating profit, which strips out exceptional and other one-off items, rose 1.8% on year to £1.71bn. Reckitt said the rise reflects efficiency improvements and early delivery of costs savings. Share

2h ago 09.50 BST British businesses say they have cut jobs in response to rising payroll costs British businesses have said they have cut jobs in response to higher taxes and “subdued” demand, according to a closely followed survey. The UK economy slowed in July as manufacturing output shrank and services sector growth slowed, according to early readings from the purchasing managers’ index (PMI) reported by S&P Global. The flash UK PMI composite index fell to 51 points in July, down from 52 in June and the 51.8 expected by economists. The services PMI dropped to 51.2, well below the 52.8 in June, while manufacturing output shrank. Yet it was signs of job cuts that may worry the UK government, with staffing numbers declining at the fastest pace since February. S&P Global said: “Survey respondents widely commented on the need to reduce headcounts in response to higher payroll costs and subdued customer demand.” Payroll costs have risen after the Labour government raised employers’ national insurance contributions. Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said: Particularly worrying is the sustained impact of the budget measures on employment. Higher staffing costs have exacerbated firms’ existing concerns over payroll numbers in the current environment of weak demand, resulting in another month of sharply reduced headcounts in July. The weak growth trajectory and sustained culling of jobs will add to pressure on the Bank of England to cut rates again at its next policy meeting in August. It seems likely that the disappointing growth and labour market trends will increasingly dominate the inflation forecasting narrative, encouraging policymakers to ‘look through’ the recent rise in price pressures and instead focus on helping to revive growth. Share Updated at 09.50 BST

2h ago 09.25 BST In the barrage of PMI economic data this morning, it looks like the European economy is doing marginally better than economists had expected. The European manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) rose to 49.8 in July, according to a flash reading by S&P Global – just shy of the 50 mark that denotes expansion and the 49.7 expected by economists. If it could edge above 50 it would be the first time in more than three years. View image in fullscreen European manufacturing edged towards expansion after years of shrinking output, according to S&P Global data. Photograph: S&P Global; HCOB On the services front, the Eurozone PMI reached 51, up from 50.6 the month before. Jack Allen-Reynolds, deputy chief eurozone economist at Capital Economics, a consultancy, said that the data were “consistent with the economy doing little more than stagnate” – but signs of easing inflationary pressures will be welcomed by the European Central Bank, ahead of its press conference this afternoon. Policymakers at the ECB will be encouraged by the evidence that services price pressures are continuing to ease. For the ECB, both the input and output price indices for the services sector declined. Both are very close to their levels in 2019, when underlying price pressures were very weak. So this will strengthen policymakers’ conviction that services inflation – which is still above 3% – will continue on its downward trend. Share Updated at 09.27 BST

3h ago 09.02 BST Tesla’s European sales down a third in 2025 It is not just British carmakers who are struggling: Tesla’s European sales are down a third this year, as total new car sales across the EU fell by 7% in June. Tesla’s European sales have slumped 33% during the year so far to 110,000 compared with 165,000 in the first half of 2024, according to new data from the European Automobile Manufacturers Association (ACEA), a lobby group. The figures suggest that Tesla is still struggling to emerge from a sales rut in Europe, even after releasing its refreshed Model Y. Elon Musk, whose shares in Tesla have made him the world’s richest man, has also contributed to the decline in sales by backing Europe’s far-right political parties, and briefly allying himself with Donald Trump, who is deeply unpopular across Europe. The US carmaker’s sales across Europe – including the EU, UK, Norway and Switzerland – were down by more than a fifth year-on-year in June, to 35,000. Tesla shares were down 4% in pre-market trading on Thursday, after Musk last night said that the electric car pioneer “probably could have a few rough quarters” because of falling earnings as Trump clamps down on the hugely profitable sale of emissions credits to other carmakers. View image in fullscreen Media personnel look at the refreshed Tesla Model Y electric car at the newly opened Tesla showroom in Mumbai, India. Photograph: Rafiq Maqbool/AP The UK has been a rare bright spot for Tesla in Europe, with sales only down by 1.3% year-on-year in the first half of the 2025, according to the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders, the British industry’s lobby group. Yet the picture in the EU has been bleak: ACEA’s data show Tesla sales down 40% in June in the EU, and 44% over the course of 2025. Across all of the European markets, Tesla’s share of sales has dropped from 2.4% in 2024 to 1.6% in 2025 – although it may regain some ground as sales of the refreshed Model Y pick up across the continent. Yet rather than physical products bought by consumers, Musk is pinning much of his hopes on future earnings from driverless taxis run by AI. The company has launched a pilot programme in Austin, Texas. Matt Britzman, an equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, an investment platform, said: Elon and the Tesla team failed to ignite a fire on last night’s earnings call. The numbers were objectively poor, but that was already expected, and shares were broadly flat on the initial release. The typical playbook for the past few quarters has been declining fundamentals but enough AI hype to keep investors sleeping at night. Tesla is in a very small cohort of companies with enough growth potential that investors are, for now at least, willing to look past weakening core financials. Share Updated at 09.12 BST

3h ago 08.42 BST Output from Germany’s manufacturing industry is likely to shrink in July, according to an early reading of the purchasing managers’ index (PMI). The “flash” reading came in at 49.2 points, below the 50 points that indicates an expansion, but slightly above economists’ expectations of 49, according to data company S&P Global. Cyrus de la Rubia, chief economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank, which sponsors the survey, said: The economic situation in the manufacturing sector remains fragile, as underscored by the headline PMI remaining below the 50 mark. However, the fact that production in this sector has now expanded for five months in a row is encouraging. Given the sustained rise in export orders over the past four months, it is reasonable to anticipate a continued expansion in output. Against this backdrop, manufacturing companies have also slowed the pace of job cuts. Overall, we see increasing signs of a recovery in the manufacturing sector. Share

3h ago 08.27 BST View image in fullscreen Business and trade secretary Jonathan Reynolds arrives at Downing Street for a cabinet meeting on Tuesday. Photograph: Thomas Krych/ZUMA Press Wire/Shutterstock Business secretary Jonathan Reynolds has said he is “very concerned” about the UK’s car industry, after figures showing that output slumped to its lowest level since 1953 in the first half of 2025, aside from the coronavirus pandemic lockdown period. UK vehicle manufacturing declined by 12% to 417,200 units in the first six months of the year, figures from the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT), a lobby group, show. Reynolds told BBC Breakfast he was worried about the industry, which he described as the “jewel in the crown” of British manufacturing. He said, according to the PA news agency: I’m very concerned about automotive, the pressures on the system which come from the US trade agenda, but also an incredible increase in capacity from China. It’s why as a government we’ve adopted so many measures specifically around the automotive sector. So that’s everything from the industrial strategy, which reduces the energy costs for British automotive factories making vehicles – cars, vans and buses. It’s also why we changed the regulation that we inherited from the previous government on the transition to electric vehicles, why we negotiated the automotive quota with the US – a key market for us in that regard – and also why we’ve just announced an incentive program for… electric vehicles made in the UK, which will bring the cost down for British consumers. Mike Hawes, the SMMT’s chief executive, said that it was “one of the toughest periods for UK automotive”. UK car manufacturing slumps to lowest level since 1953 barring Covid Read more Share

3h ago 08.20 BST The FTSE 100 has gained a bit more momentum, up 0.6%. Elsewhere on European markets, France’s Cac 40 is up 0.4%, but Germany’s Dax index has jumped by 1.1% and Spain’s top stocks on the Ibex are up 1.3%. Shares in Germany’s Deutsche Bank rose by 6% on Thursday morning, driving that Dax rise. Reuters reported that the lender “returned to a better-than-expected profit in the second quarter from a year ago despite mixed results at its global investment banking division and a hit from the jump in the euro’s value.” In Switzerland, Nestlé said it would do a strategic review of its vitamins business that could lead to the divestment of some brands, despite reporting “better-than-expected first-half organic sales growth on Thursday, Reuters reported. Share

4h ago 08.10 BST ITV announces £35m cost cuts but Lioness football eases blow Mark Sweney ITV has announced another £35m in cost cuts after profits plummeted more than 40% in the first half, as the broadcaster struggled to match the advertising boom delivered by last year’s men’s European football championships. The broadcaster said that pre-tax profits were down 44% year-on-year to £99m in the first six months, as total advertising revenues fell 7% to £824m. ITV said that it struggled to match the “very strong” advertising period last year driven by the men’s Euros, which caused a 17% surge in ad revenue in the second quarter last year as England reached the tournament finals. The broadcaster announced a further £15m in cost savings, taking the total for this year to £45m, which it said will come from a combination of new initiatives and annualised benefits from cuts made last year. Separately, ITV also said that it was trimming programming budget by £20m, from £1.25bn to £1.23bn, “as we further optimise content spend to best reflect viewer dynamics”. View image in fullscreen England’s Chloe Kelly had her extra-time penalty saved against Italy, but bundled in the rebound to send defending champions England into the Euro 2025 final. Photograph: Nick Potts/PA Looking ahead, ITV said that it expects total advertising revenue to be “marginally down” in the third quarter, again due to last year’s Euros. However, the decline has been ameliorated by England’s nerve-racking and exhilarating run to make the finals of the women’s Euro 2025 tournament. ITV’s gamble by choosing to have the first pick of the semi-finals in pre-tournament negotiations with the BBC, which in return got live coverage of three of the four quarter finals, has paid off.

England’s European Championship semi-final win over Italy on Tuesday night delivered ITV’s highest viewing figures of the year. A peak audience of 10.2m watched as England defeated Italy in the final minutes of extra time to set up a final against Spain, which beat Germany on Wednesday night. The dramatic final – which ran for an advertising haul-friendly 120 minutes – was ITV’s highest average audience of the year among adults and 16 to 34 year olds. It also broke streaming records with ITVX recording its biggest day of the year with 17.2m stream views. Carolyn McCall, chief executive of ITV, said: ITV is now a leaner, more digital business in a strong position to compete and succeed in a changing market. We have the agility and capability to make the most of new revenue opportunities while driving profitable growth, strong cash generation and attractive returns to shareholders. Share

4h ago 08.04 BST And we’re off on Europe’s stock markets. The FTSE 100 has gained 0.4% in the opening trades. Lloyds Banking Group is up 0.9%, while HSBC has also gained 1%. The biggest riser in the early moves is Airtel Africa, up 4.5% after the telecoms company reported growth in customer numbers, and a 30% increase in quarterly earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation. Share

Source: Theguardian.com | View original article

Source: https://www.theguardian.com/business/live/2025/jul/24/lloyds-uk-economy-deterioration-elon-musk-tesla-european-central-bank-ecb-lagarde-manufacturing-pmi-business-live

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