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Marcus Semien and Isaac Paredes are among the players with prop bets available when the Texas Rangers and the Houston Astros play at Daikin Park on Saturday (starting at 7:35 p.m. ET).

Sportsbooks have tabbed the Astros (-125) as moneyline favorites versus the Rangers (+105). This game’s over/under has been set at 8. You can get -115 odds on the over and -105 odds on the under.

Houston Astros prop bets today

Isaac Paredes player props

Hits prop: Over/under 0.5 (Over odds: -200, under odds: +150)

Over/under 0.5 (Over odds: -200, under odds: +150) Runs prop: Over/under 0.5 (Over odds: +110, under odds: -149)

Over/under 0.5 (Over odds: +110, under odds: -149) Home runs prop: Over/under 0.5 (Over odds: +475, under odds: -714)

Over/under 0.5 (Over odds: +475, under odds: -714) RBI prop: Over/under 0.5 (Over odds: +195, under odds: -278)

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For the Astros, Paredes has a triple slash of .257/.358/.467 while launching 19 home runs with 50 runs and 49 RBI in 394 plate appearances. He’s striking out at a 16.8% clip and walking 11.9% of the time.

Isaac Paredes recent game stats

vs. Rangers on July 11: 2-for-5, 1 R, 1 K

2-for-5, 1 R, 1 K vs. Guardians on July 9: 1-for-4

1-for-4 vs. Guardians on July 8: 0-for-2, 2 R, 1 K, 3 BB

0-for-2, 2 R, 1 K, 3 BB vs. Guardians on July 7: 1-for-4, 1 R, 1 HR, 1 RBI

1-for-4, 1 R, 1 HR, 1 RBI at Dodgers on July 6: 1-for-5, 2 K

Jose Altuve player props

Hits prop: Over/under 0.5 (Over odds: -250, under odds: +190)

Over/under 0.5 (Over odds: -250, under odds: +190) Runs prop: Over/under 0.5 (Over odds: +115, under odds: -161)

Over/under 0.5 (Over odds: +115, under odds: -161) Home runs prop: Over/under 0.5 (Over odds: +625, under odds: -1000)

Over/under 0.5 (Over odds: +625, under odds: -1000) RBI prop: Over/under 0.5 (Over odds: +195, under odds: -278)

In 388 plate appearances, Jose Altuve has popped 16 homers with 51 RBI and 49 runs while hitting .272/.332/.456, including a walk rate of 8.5% and a K rate of 15.7%. On the bases, he has picked up six steals on 12 attempts.

Jose Altuve recent game stats

vs. Rangers on July 11: 1-for-3, 1 BB

1-for-3, 1 BB vs. Guardians on July 9: 1-for-4, 1 RBI

1-for-4, 1 RBI vs. Guardians on July 8: 2-for-3, 1 R, 4 RBI, 1 BB

2-for-3, 1 R, 4 RBI, 1 BB vs. Guardians on July 7: 0-for-4

0-for-4 at Dodgers on July 6: 2-for-4, 1 R, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Texas Rangers prop bets today

Marcus Semien player props

Hits prop: Over/under 0.5 (Over odds: -208, under odds: +160)

Over/under 0.5 (Over odds: -208, under odds: +160) Runs prop: Over/under 0.5 (Over odds: +120, under odds: -167)

Over/under 0.5 (Over odds: +120, under odds: -167) Home runs prop: Over/under 0.5 (Over odds: +525, under odds: -833)

Over/under 0.5 (Over odds: +525, under odds: -833) RBI prop: Over/under 0.5 (Over odds: +170, under odds: -227)

Semien has 10 home runs and 48 RBI this season for the Rangers, 45 runs scored, a strikeout rate of 18.6% and a walk rate of 10.2%, plus seven steals on eight attempts. His slash line is .236/.316/.362.

Marcus Semien recent game stats

at Astros on July 11: 0-for-4, 1 R, 2 K

0-for-4, 1 R, 2 K at Angels on July 10: 4-for-5, 3 R, 1 RBI, 1 K

4-for-5, 3 R, 1 RBI, 1 K at Angels on July 9: 1-for-3, 1 R, 1 HR, 4 RBI, 1 BB

1-for-3, 1 R, 1 HR, 4 RBI, 1 BB at Angels on July 8: 0-for-3, 2 R, 1 K, 1 BB

0-for-3, 2 R, 1 K, 1 BB at Angels on July 7: 0-for-4, 2 K, 1 BB

Josh Smith player props

Hits prop: Over/under 0.5 (Over odds: -167, under odds: +130)

Over/under 0.5 (Over odds: -167, under odds: +130) Runs prop: Over/under 0.5 (Over odds: +110, Under odds: -143)

Over/under 0.5 (Over odds: +110, Under odds: -143) Home runs prop: Over/under 0.5 (Over odds: +875, under odds: -1667)

Over/under 0.5 (Over odds: +875, under odds: -1667) RBI prop: Over/under 0.5 (Over odds: +320, under odds: -455)

Josh Smith has eight home runs and 24 RBI this year — with 45 runs scored, a strikeout rate of 16.3% and a walk rate of 9.6%, plus eight steals on 11 attempts. His slash line is .286/.363/.429.

Josh Smith recent game stats

at Astros on July 11: 1-for-5, 1 K

1-for-5, 1 K at Angels on July 10: 0-for-3, 1 R, 2 K, 2 BB

0-for-3, 1 R, 2 K, 2 BB at Angels on July 9: 2-for-4, 2 R, 1 RBI, 1 BB

2-for-4, 2 R, 1 RBI, 1 BB at Angels on July 8: 1-for-5, 1 K, 1 BB

1-for-5, 1 K, 1 BB at Angels on July 7: 1-for-1, 1 RBI

Astros vs. Rangers how to watch, starters

The Rangers are +105 favorites vs the Astros

are favorites vs the Rangers vs Astros Over / Under today: 8 Runs

vs Over / Under today: Runs Rangers / Astros TV Channel: KDAF | SCHN | SCH2

The Texas Rangers (+105) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-125) on Friday, July 11, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX, TX.

This season, the Rangers are 46-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 47-46 ATS.

Rangers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

Rangers starting pitcher: Jack Leiter 4-6 , 4.34 ERA

starting pitcher: , ERA Astros starting pitcher: Lance McCullers 2-3 , 5.73 ERA

Rangers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Spread Over / Under Moneyline Rangers -1.5 +165 O 8 -105 +105 Astros +1.5 -220 U 8 -115 -125

Rangers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+12.90 Units / 43% ROI)

Corey Seager has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.80 Units / 65% ROI)

Corey Seager has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.65 Units / 71% ROI)

Evan Carter has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+10.10 Units / 67% ROI)

Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

Victor Caratini has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+20.30 Units / 203% ROI)

Cam Smith has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.30 Units / 41% ROI)

Jake Meyers has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 27% ROI)

Jose Altuve has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+8.70 Units / 87% ROI)

Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+8.30 Units / 104% ROI)

Rangers Best Bets Today:

The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 94 games (+16.95 Units / 16% ROI)

The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 57 of their last 94 games (+15.20 Units / 14% ROI)

The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 away games (+7.45 Units / 26% ROI)

The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 38 away games (+7.20 Units / 15% ROI)

The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 38 away games (+7.05 Units / 15% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 56 of their last 93 games (+15.55 Units / 14% ROI)

The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 58 games (+15.30 Units / 19% ROI)

The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 44 games at home (+9.70 Units / 18% ROI)

The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 60 games (+9.05 Units / 14% ROI)

The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 85 games (+7.07 Units / 7% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 47-46 against the Run Line (-5.1 Units / -4.13% ROI).

46-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.25 Units / -6.07% ROI

when betting on the for Units / ROI 36-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.4 Units / -24.96% ROI

when betting on the total runs for Units / ROI 57-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.95 Units / 16.14% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 47-46 against the Run Line (+2.42 Units / 2.09% ROI).

55-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.3 Units / 7.5% ROI

when betting on the for Units / ROI 39-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.55 Units / -16.25% ROI

when betting on the total runs for Units / ROI 51-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.3 Units / 8.07% ROI

Astros vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jack Leiter has walked 13% of opponent 7-8-9 hitters this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile. Hitters have swung at 38% of Jack Leiter’s changeup (60/159) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 50% — second Percentile. Opponents have a chase percentage of just 28% (65/230) against Jack Leiter with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 38% — first Percentile. Left-handed batters are hitting just .181 (25-for-138) against Jack Leiter this season — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 93rd Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have swung at 40% of Lance McCullers’ pitches (301/757) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile. Lance McCullers has walked 13% of batters this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile. Lance McCullers has allowed three-ball counts to 29% of batters he faced (53/183 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 19% — first Percentile. Hitters have chased just 23 of Lance McCullers’ 131 sliders out of the zone (chase rate of 18%) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Rangers are just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500. The Rangers are just 9-17 (.346) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Astros (Ranks third runs allowed) today. The Rangers are just 2-26 (.071) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199. The Rangers were 39-8 (.830) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .750.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Astros are 27-10 (.730) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .496. The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050. The Astros are 110-12 (.902) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .862. The Astros are 32-17 (.653) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .549.

Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends

The Rangers are batting just .159 on changeups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .231. Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .629 (875 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .693. Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .609 (1,034 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697. The Rangers are batting just .221 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.

Astros Hitting Stats & Trends

Astros hitters have put just 29% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%. Astros hitters have put 46% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%. Astros hitters are averaging just 3.68 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88. The Astros are batting .260 this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends

Rangers pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%. Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .214 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250. Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Rangers pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260. Rangers pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Astros Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%. Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%. Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%. Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

More MLB Reading:

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