
Record-breaking travel expected during July 4th weekend
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Diverging Reports Breakdown
AAA projects record 5.7 million Texans expected to travel over July 4th week
AAA Texas projects 5.7 million Texans will travel at least 50 miles from home over the Independence Day holiday period. This is an increase of 369,000 Texas travelers compared to last year, and 521,000 more than in 2019.
AAA Texas projects 5.7 million Texans will travel at least 50 miles from home over the Independence Day holiday period from Saturday, June 28 to Sunday, July 6.
AAA Texas says that this year’s domestic travel forecast is an increase of 369,000 Texas travelers compared to last year, and 521,000 more than in 2019.
“Summer is one of the busiest travel seasons, and Independence Day consistently ranks among the most popular times for a getaway,” said Galen Grillo, Vice President and General Manager of AAA Texas. “Following a record-setting Memorial Day forecast, AAA Texas is seeing continued strong demand for both road trips and air travel during the July Fourth holiday period. With the holiday falling on a Friday this year, many travelers are planning extended weekends or full-week vacations to spend quality time with family and friends.”
Conquer the Weekend: Travel Domestically for July 4th!
AAA projects 72.2 million Americans will travel domestically during the Independence Day holiday period (Saturday, June 28 to Sunday, July 6) This represents an increase of 1.7 million travelers (2.4%) over last year and 7 million more than in 2019. Air travel is reaching record-breaking numbers nationwide, with 5.84 million people flying. Nearly 4.78 million people will travel by train, bus, or cruise, marking a rise of 7.4% over the last year. AAA data reveals the most sought-after travel spots for July 4th are the beaches, fireworks, and cities in Alaska that are the main motivators for travelers to head to these cities for the holiday. For more information, visit AAA.com/IndependenceDay or call 1-800- AAA-TIP (1-844-273-8255) or go to www. AAA.org/independence. For confidential support on suicide matters call the Samaritans on 08457 90 90 90 or visit a local Samaritans branch, see www.samaritans.org for details.
As Americans look forward to the holiday, many are choosing to travel domestically to enjoy the diverse attractions available in their own country.
Traveling domestically allows families to enjoy the beauty and culture within the United States while avoiding the complexities of international travel.
Travel domestically to explore hidden gems and popular destinations alike.
Those who travel domestically this summer will have the chance to create unforgettable memories.
Make sure to consider places that allow you to travel domestically while still enjoying scenic views and recreational activities.
Traveling domestically opens up opportunities for adventure that might be overlooked.
To better reflect holiday travel trends, AAA’s forecast now accounts for two weekends, capturing extended trips and varied departure schedules.
To fully appreciate the local experiences, many prefer to travel domestically.
“Independence Day is one of the most popular times for travel, with Americans eager to take advantage of summer vacation opportunities,” said Debbie Haas, Vice President of AAA Travel. “This year, we’re seeing strong demand for road trips, flights, and cruises, especially with the holiday falling on a Friday. This is allowing travelers to extend their getaways and make lasting memories with loved ones.”
Many are excited to travel domestically this summer, especially with family and friends.
Options to travel domestically are abundant, making it easier to find the right destination.
Many families are looking to travel domestically this summer, ensuring memorable experiences.
Travel domestically with a focus on enjoying local cuisine and attractions.
How Americans Are Traveling This Independence Day
Travel Domestically: Tips for Your Independence Day Getaway
In addition to flying, many are opting to travel domestically by train or rental car.
Why It’s Important to Travel Domestically This Summer
By Car:
AAA estimates 61.6 million Americans will drive—a 2.2% increase from last year and the highest number ever recorded. 1.3 million more road travelers are expected compared to 2024.
Drivers should prepare their vehicles in advance, as AAA responded to nearly 700,000 roadside assistance calls nationwide during last year’s holiday period for issues like dead batteries, flat tires, and empty gas tanks.
Gas prices are likely to fluctuate before Independence Day. Last week, oil prices surged in response to Israel’s strikes on Iran, increasing gasoline production costs. While analysts suggest this may be a short-term reaction, it’s too early to know whether prices will stabilize before the holiday. South Carolina drivers are currently paying $2.86. That is approximately .39 cents per gallon less than last year’s holiday. Visit GasPrices.AAA.com for the latest gas price averages.
Road Trip Inspiration: Take a road trip to one of the 10 Best National Parks to Visit in Summer on AAA Trip Canvas.
By Air:
Air travel has also increased, as many choose to travel domestically to visit loved ones.
Air travel is reaching record-breaking numbers nationwide, with 5.84 million people flying, a 1.4% increase over last year’s previous high. This figure exclusively represents domestic leisure travel, counting complete round-trip itineraries as a single trip. This differs from TSA data, which tracks each individual airport screening separately and includes both domestic and international travel.
AAA data shows round-trip domestic flights averaging $810, up 4% from 2024. Travelers booking last-minute can find better deals by flying midweek (Tuesdays or Wednesdays).
While flying, many travelers still prefer to travel domestically to save costs and time.
Air Travel Inspiration: Need family-friendly ideas? Explore the 17 Best Vacation Spots for Families on AAA Trip Canvas.
By Other Modes:
Nearly 4.78 million people will travel by bus, train, or cruise, marking a 7.4% rise over last year. Cruising continues to fuel this growth, particularly in peak Alaska cruise season.
Cruise Inspiration: Check out the 9 Best Alaska Cruises for Every Traveler for your next adventure.
AAA’s Top Independence Day Destinations
Travel domestically this July 4th and experience the freedom of exploring our nation’s landscapes.
AAA booking data reveals the most sought-after travel spots for July 4th:
These destinations are based on AAA booking data for the Independence Day travel period. Cruises, beaches, and fireworks are the main motivators for travelers heading to these cities. Alaska cruises are in peak season, Florida and Hawaii are in high demand for their resorts and attractions, and New York and Boston host two of the most popular fireworks shows in the nation.
Internationally, Vancouver tops the list for its mild weather and perfect blend of urban excitement and natural beauty. This is followed by Europe’s most in-demand cities like Rome and Paris.
Best & Worst Times to Drive
According to INRIX, expect heavy road congestion on Wednesday, July 2 and Sunday, July 6. The busiest times will be afternoons, while mornings offer the best escape from traffic.
Ideal Travel Times:
Worst hours: Afternoon to early evening
Afternoon to early evening Best hours: Early morning
Drivers should remain alert for construction delays, crashes, and severe weather. AAA reminds all motorists to Slow Down, Move Over for emergency responders assisting roadside travelers.
“We encourage travelers to consider purchasing travel insurance to protect their plans,” said Haas. “Unexpected disruptions like flight delays, lost luggage, or medical emergencies can turn a dream vacation into a stressful experience. Travel insurance provides peace of mind, ensuring you can enjoy your Independence Day getaway with confidence.”
Looking for a last-minute rental car, hotel, or flight? Visit AAA.com/travel to lock in your plans or connect with a AAA Travel Advisor for expert guidance on crafting a trip tailored to your interests.
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Holiday Forecast Methodology
Travel Forecast
In cooperation with AAA, S&P Global Market Intelligence (SPGMI) developed a unique methodology to forecast actual domestic travel volumes. The economic variables used to forecast travel for the current holiday are leveraged from SPGMI’s proprietary databases. These data include macroeconomic drivers such as employment, output, household net worth, asset prices including stock indices, interest rates, housing market indicators, and variables related to travel and tourism, including gasoline prices, airline travel, and hotel stays. AAA and SPGMI have quantified holiday travel volumes going back to 2000.
Historical travel volume estimates come from MMGY’s TRAVEL PERFORMANCE/MonitorSM. The PERFORMANCE/MonitorSM is a comprehensive study measuring the travel behavior of U.S. residents. MMGY contacts over 50,000 U.S. households each month to obtain detailed travel data, resulting in the unique ability to estimate visitor volume and spending, identify trends, forecast U.S. travel behavior and position brand, all after the trips have been taken.
The travel forecast is reported in person-trips. In particular, AAA and SPGMI forecast the total U.S. holiday travel volume and expected mode of transportation. The travel forecast presented in this report was prepared the week of May 19, 2025.
Because AAA holiday forecasts focus on domestic leisure travel only, comparisons to TSA passenger screening numbers should not be made. TSA data includes all passengers traveling on both domestic and international routes, whether traveling for work or leisure. Additionally, TSA screens passengers each time they enter secured areas of the airport, therefore each one-way trip is counted as a passenger tally. AAA focuses on person-trips, which include the full round-trip travel itinerary. As a result, direct comparisons of AAA forecast volumes and daily TSA screenings represent different factors.
Independence Day Holiday Travel Period
The Independence Day holiday travel period is defined as the nine-day period from Saturday, June 28 to Sunday, July 6. Historically, this holiday period included only one weekend. The expanded travel window was instituted starting in 2024 with historical results calculated back to 2019 using the new nine-day period.
About AAA
Started in 1902 by automotive enthusiasts who wanted to chart a path for better roads in America and advocate for safe mobility, AAA has transformed into one of North America’s largest membership organizations. Today, AAA delivers exceptional roadside assistance, helps travelers plan their dream vacations and adventures, offers exclusive member discounts and benefits, and provides trusted financial and insurance services – all to enhance the life journey of our 65+ million members across North America, including nearly 58 million in the United States. To learn more about all AAA offers or become a member, visit AAA.com.
AAA expecting record-breaking 4th of July travel week
AAA is forecasting a record-breaking travel week for the upcoming Fourth of July holiday. More than 72 million Americans will travel 50 miles or more from home. Of those, more than 61 million are expected to travel by car.
LEXINGTON, Ky. (ABC36 NEWS NOW) — AAA is forecasting a record-breaking travel week for the upcoming Fourth of July holiday, with millions of Americans expected to hit the roads—and Kentucky highways are no exception.
According to AAA, more than 72 million Americans will travel 50 miles or more from home. Of those, more than 61 million are expected to travel by car, making this the busiest Independence Day for road travel ever recorded.
Officials warn that Kentucky drivers should brace for crowded highways and potential delays.
AAA Blue Grass plans to release Kentucky-specific travel numbers during a media event in Lexington next Tuesday. In the meantime, drivers are encouraged to prepare ahead of time—check their vehicles, leave early, and plan for extra time on the road.
Record number of Americans expected to travel for July 4th holiday
The AAA released its Independence Day Travel Forecast report, citing about 72.2 million people set to travel. The majority – over 60 million Americans, will drive to the intended destination while about 5.84 million Americans will fly.
The AAA released its Independence Day Travel Forecast report, citing about 72.2 million people set to travel.
They will travel least 50 miles from home this July 4th during the holiday period from Saturday, June 28 to Sunday, July 6.
The 2025 report shows a likely increase of 1.7 million travelers compared to last year and a near 10% increase on pre pandemic levels.
The majority – over 60 million Americans, will drive to the intended destination while about 5.84 million Americans will fly.
The remainder will go by other transportation, like trains or take a cruise vacation.
Stacey Barber, AAA Travel VP, said: “Summertime is one of the busiest travel seasons of the year. Following Memorial Day’s record forecast, AAA is seeing strong demand for road trips and air travel over Independence Day week.”
AAA: Record 2.6 Million Michiganders Expected to Travel for July 4th
AAA: Record 2.6 million Michiganders Expected to Travel for July 4th. 72.2 million Americans will travel domestically during the Independence Day holiday period (Saturday, June 28 to Sunday, July 6). This represents an increase of 1.7 million travelers (2.4%) over last year and 7 million more than in 2019. Michigan travel is expected to reach historic levels, with more than 2.4 million Michigan residents will take a road trip (+59,000 from last year, up 2.5%). AAA responded to nearly 700,000 roadside assistance calls nationwide during last year’s holiday period for issues like dead batteries, flat tires, and empty gas tanks. The holiday falls on a Friday, allowing travelers to extend their getaways and make lasting memories with loved ones.
June 20, 2025
Nik Rajkovic / news@whmi.com
AAA projects 72.2 million Americans will travel domestically during the Independence Day holiday period (Saturday, June 28 to Sunday, July 6). This represents an increase of 1.7 million travelers (2.4%) over last year and 7 million more than in 2019.
To better reflect holiday travel trends, AAA’s forecast now accounts for two weekends, capturing extended trips and varied departure schedules.
Michigan travel is expected to reach historic levels, with more than 2.6 million Michiganders hitting the road, skies, and rails – that’s up 71,000 (nearly 3%) from last year.
• Driving: Nearly 2.4 million Michigan residents will take a road trip (+59,000 from last year, up 2.5%).
• Flying: Nearly 96,000 Michigan residents will fly domestically (+1,000, up 1%).
• Other Modes: More than 160,000 Michiganders will take buses, trains, or cruises (+11,000, up 7%).
Michigan Independence Day Travelers:
Auto Air Other Total
2025 2.4 million 95,681 161,302 2.6 million
2024 2.3 million 94,613 150,273 2.5 million
2019 2.1 million 90,195 158,604 2.3 million
“Independence Day is one of the most popular times for travel, with Americans eager to take advantage of summer vacation opportunities,” said Debbie Haas, Vice President of AAA Travel.
“This year, we’re seeing strong demand for road trips, flights, and cruises, especially with the holiday falling on a Friday. This is allowing travelers to extend their getaways and make lasting memories with loved ones.”
How Americans Are Traveling This Independence Day:
By Car:
AAA estimates 61.6 million Americans will drive—a 2.2% increase from last year and the highest number ever recorded. 1.3 million more road travelers are expected compared to 2024.
Drivers should prepare their vehicles in advance, as AAA responded to nearly 700,000 roadside assistance calls nationwide during last year’s holiday period for issues like dead batteries, flat tires, and empty gas tanks.
Gas prices are likely to fluctuate before Independence Day. Last week, oil prices surged in response to Israel’s strikes on Iran, increasing gasoline production costs. While analysts suggest this may be a short-term reaction, it’s too early to know whether prices will stabilize before the holiday.
Michigan drivers are currently paying $3.30. That is approximately 30 cents per gallon less than last year’s holiday.
By Air:
Air travel is reaching record-breaking numbers nationwide, with 5.84 million people flying, a 1.4% increase over last year’s previous high. This figure exclusively represents domestic leisure travel, counting complete round-trip itineraries as a single trip. This differs from TSA data, which tracks each individual airport screening separately and includes both domestic and international travel.
AAA data shows round-trip domestic flights averaging $810, up 4% from 2024. Travelers booking last-minute can find better deals by flying midweek (Tuesdays or Wednesdays).
By Other Modes:
Nearly 4.78 million people will travel by bus, train, or cruise, marking a 7.4% rise over last year. Cruising continues to fuel this growth, particularly in peak Alaska cruise season.
Source: https://www.cbsnews.com/chicago/video/record-breaking-travel-expected-during-july-4th-weekend/