Officials have issued a flash flood warning Saturday for portions of Los Angeles and Riverside counties, including areas impacted by the Bridge Fire burn scar. The National Weather Service is urging residents to take precautions as heavy rain and flash flooding are expected through 8 p.m.

The flash flood warning covers areas including Falling Springs, Angeles Crest Highway between Mount Waterman and Big Pines, the western sections of the Bridge Fire burn scar, and Mount Baldy. According to the National Weather Service, Doppler radar shows thunderstorms dropping heavy rain across the region, with 1 to 2 inches already reported and another 0.5 to 1 inch possible.

Residents are being advised to exercise caution and avoid flooded roads, particularly in hilly terrain where low-water crossings can be dangerous.

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The NWS emphasized the “turn around, don’t drown” warning, noting that most flood-related deaths occur in vehicles. Campers and hikers are also advised to stay away from streams and creeks, which can become hazardous during heavy rain.

Officials have issued a flash flood warning for parts of Los Angeles and Riverside counties, including areas affected by the Bridge Fire burn scar, as heavy rain and thunderstorms are expected through Saturday evening. (NWS)

Southwestern San Bernardino County and parts of Imperial County were also under flash flood warnings. Locations such as Yucca Valley, Joshua Tree, Joshua Tree Lake Campground, Morongo Valley, and Niland were expected to experience flooding, with State Route 247 and portions of CA Route 111 at risk.

The Los Angeles County Fire Department shared the following statement to X: “With a #FloodWatch in effect for sections of #SoCal with the biggest concern for the recent burn scars, please follow the safety tips in the graphic below.”

New details emerge in gruesome murder and dismemberment of Scottish woman

The Los Angeles County Fire Department posted on X that a Flood Watch is in effect for parts of Southern California, with particular concern for areas affected by recent burn scars, and urged residents to follow the accompanying safety tips. (LACoFD)

The NWS described the threat as “life-threatening” and urged anyone witnessing flooding to report it to local authorities and the National Weather Service.

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Authorities continue to monitor conditions closely as thunderstorms move through the region, stressing that residents should remain alert and avoid unnecessary travel until the warning expires.

Mitzi Vazquez contributed to the reporting in this article.

Copyright 2025 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.

For the latest news, weather, sports, and streaming video, head to KTLA.

AI-assisted summary A storm system near the Bahamas is expected to become Tropical Storm Imelda and is the main concern for the U.S. East Coast.

A tropical storm watch has been issued for a portion of Florida’s east coast due to the approaching system.

While Hurricane Humberto is a powerful Category 5 storm, it is expected to remain at sea but could influence Imelda’s path.

Heavy rainfall and potential flooding are significant threats early next week from portions of the east coast of Florida northward into the Carolinas

Humberto is a powerful Category 5 hurricane in the Atlantic Saturday, Sept. 27, but the system of most concern for U.S. East Coast residents is a storm near the Bahamas expected to become Tropical Storm Imelda this weekend and prompting a tropical storm watch along Florida’s coast, according to the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center.

At 11 p.m., Tropical Depression 9 was 100 miles southwest of the central Bahamas with 35 mph winds.

The storm is expected to become Tropical Storm Imelda tonight or early Saturday and is continuing to produce significant rainfall over portions of eastern Cuba and the Bahamas.

The system is expected to move across the central and northwestern Bahamas and parallel but offshore the east coast of Florida this weekend before becoming a hurricane by late Monday or Tuesday as it approaches the southeast U.S. coast early next week.

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Given the risk of tropical-storm-force winds, a tropical storm watch has been issued for the east coast of Florida from the Palm Beach/Martin County line northward to the Flagler/Volusia County line. Tropical storm conditions are possible beginning Monday, per the NHC.

“With the system’s center likely remaining around 100-150 miles east of Florida’s East Coast, it should be far enough away for the peninsula to avoid significant rain and wind impacts, though I would expect periodic showers with occasional gusts of around 40 mph in squalls for coastal counties through at least Tuesday, as shown on the 06z Euro,” WeatherTiger meteorologist Ryan Truchelot said.

A tropical storm warning is in effect for portions of the central and southwestern Bahamas.

Interests elsewhere in the Bahamas and along the southeast coast of the United States from Florida to North Carolina should monitor the progress of this system.

Humberto is expected to remain out at sea, but could affect the path and intensity of would-be Imelda, making the impact on the U.S. difficult to predict. The two could interact with each other in what’s known as the Fujiwhara effect.

While there is still some uncertainty in the long-range track of the system and even if interaction with Humberto keeps it offshore, forecasters say there is a significant threat of heavy rainfall early next week from portions of the east coast of Florida northward into the Carolinas, which could cause flash, urban, and river flooding.

South Carolina Gov. Henry McMaster declared a statewide state of emergency Friday.

“As this storm approaches our coast, I am issuing a State of Emergency to ensure Team South Carolina is able to access and deploy the resources and personnel needed to prepare for and respond to this storm,” McMaster said. “While the storm’s arrival, speed, and intensity remain hard to predict, we do know that it will bring significant wind, heavy rainfall, and flooding across the ENTIRE state of South Carolina. We have seen this before. Now is the time to start paying attention to forecasts, updates, and alerts from official sources and begin making preparations.”

Where is Tropical Depression 9, future Tropical Storm Imelda?

Tropical Depression 9 is forecast to become Tropical Storm Imelda this weekend and bring tropical storm conditions to portions of the central and northwestern Bahamas, where Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect.

A north-northwestward motion is expected to begin later today and continue through Monday.

On the forecast track, the center of the system is expected to move across the central and northwestern Bahamas this weekend and approach the southeast U.S. coast early next week.

Rainfall associated with this system is expected to impact eastern Cuba, Hispaniola, Jamaica, and the Bahamas through the weekend, which will likely produce flash and urban flooding. Mudslides are possible in the higher terrain.

While there remains uncertainty in the long-range track and intensity of the system, moisture from Tropical Depression Nine will lead to a threat of heavy rainfall well to the north, from coastal Georgia through the Carolinas and into the southern mid-Atlantic states into early next week, the hurricane center said on Saturday morning. The rain could cause flash flooding, urban flooding and river flooding.

Tropical Storm Watch issued for portion of Florida

A tropical storm watch is in effect for:

East coast of Florida from the Palm Beach/Martin County Line to the Flagler/Volusia County Line

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

A tropical storm warning is in effect for:

Central Bahamas, including Cat Island, the Exumas, Long Island, Rum Cay, and San Salvador

Portions of the northwestern Bahamas, including Eleuthera, New Providence, the Abacos, Berry Islands, Andros island, and Grand Bahama Island

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, within 36 hours.

Key messages for Tropical Depression 9, soon to be Imelda

The depression is expected to strengthen and bring tropical storm conditions to portions of the central and northwestern Bahamas through Sunday night. Tropical storm conditions are also possible along portions of the east coast of central Florida beginning Monday, where a Tropical Storm Watch is in effect. Rainfall will continue to impact eastern Cuba, Hispaniola, Jamaica, and the Bahamas through the weekend, which will likely produce flash and urban flooding. Mudslides are possible in the higher terrain. There is a significant threat of heavy rainfall early next week from coastal Georgia through the Carolinas and into the southern Mid-Atlantic states, which could cause flash, urban, and river flooding. The depression is expected to be at or near hurricane intensity when it is closest to the southeast U.S. coast early next week, where there is a risk of storm surge and wind impacts. Although it is too soon to specify the exact location and magnitude of impacts, residents should closely monitor the latest forecast updates and ensure that they have their hurricane plan in place.

Winds forecast

5 p.m.: 35 mph

35 mph 12 hours: 40 mph

40 mph 24 hours: 50 mph

50 mph 36 hours: 65 mph

65 mph 48 hours: 70 mph

70 mph 60 hours: 75 mph

75 mph 72 hours: 75 mph

75 mph 96 hours: 75 mph

75 mph 120 hours: 70 mph

Hazards affecting land from future Tropical Storm Imelda

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the central Bahamas beginning tonight or early Sunday and in the northwestern Bahamas on Sunday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area along the east coast of Florida on Monday.

RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Nine is expected to produce additional rainfall of 4 to 8 across eastern Cuba and the Bahamas. Across Hispaniola, Jamaica, and portions of central and southern Cuba, an additional 1 to 3 inches of rain is expected. This rainfall will likely produce flash and urban flooding. Mudslides are also possible in areas of higher terrain across eastern Cuba.

By early next week, moisture from Tropical Depression Nine is expected to bring a threat of heavy rainfall from the east coast of Florida northward into the eastern Carolinas. Rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches are possible, with localized totals of 10 inches across portions of the coastal Carolinas. This rainfall could result in flash, urban, and river flooding. Changes in the forecast track could result in adjustments to these rainfall totals.

STORM SURGE: A storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above ground level along the immediate coast in areas of onshore winds in the northwestern Bahamas. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large waves.

SURF: Swells generated by this system and Hurricane Humberto will affect portions of the Bahamas this weekend, and spread to portions of the southeast U.S. coast early next week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

Spaghetti models for PTC 9, future Imelda

Special note about spaghetti models: Spaghetti model illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The Hurricane Center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts.

Tropical Storm Imelda Florida impact?

The system is expected to move across the central and northwestern Bahamas and parallel but offshore the east coast of Florida this weekend before becoming a hurricane by late Monday or Tuesday as it approaches the southeast U.S. coast early next week.

Given the risk of tropical-storm-force winds, a tropical storm watch has been issued for the east coast of Florida from the Palm Beach/Martin County Line northward to the Flagler/Volusia County Line, meaning tropical storm conditions are possible within the next 48 hours.

According to the National Weather Service:

As the center of Tropical Depression Nine moves northward, outer rain bands will begin to affect the immediate coast of east-central Florida as early as Sunday morning.

Multiple rounds of rainfall are forecast from Sunday through early Tuesday, with amounts of 1 to 3 inches focused along and east of Interstate 95. Through Tuesday, locally higher amounts to 5 inches are possible where persistent bands of rain set up, especially along the immediate coastline.

Localized flooding or ponding of water on roadways is possible where repeated rounds of heavy rain occur. Wind fields will gradually expand as the tropical system strengthens.

As a result, Tropical-storm-force wind gusts are possible for much of the east-central Florida coastline, especially from Cape Canaveral northward. The potential exists for at least occasional tropical-storm-force sustained winds along the northern Brevard and Volusia coast.

Therefore, Tropical Storm Watches remain in effect for coastal portions of Volusia, Brevard, Indian River, Saint Lucie, and Martin counties. A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for the adjacent Atlantic coastal waters.

At the coast, battering surf from Sunday afternoon through Tuesday will produce dangerous beach conditions. A HIGH risk of rip currents is forecast with breaking waves of 6 to 10 feet.

Beach erosion is increasingly likely as waves run up to the dune line or sea walls, especially along the northern Brevard and Volusia coast on Monday.

Long-period swells from this system combined with distant Major Hurricane Humberto will produce the potential for long-duration beach and dune erosion, along with high surf conditions, through late week.

For locations in and near the Tropical Storm Watch, do not let your guard down. Slight westward adjustments in the forecast track will increase the potential for tropical-storm-force winds, while an eastward shift would decrease this potential. Regardless of the exact track, significant coastal impacts are anticipated.

Residents should continue to monitor the forecast for updates and ensure their emergency plan is ready.

Where is Hurricane Humberto?

Special note on the NHC cone: The forecast track shows the most likely path of the center of the storm. It does not illustrate the full width of the storm or its impacts, and the center of the storm is likely to travel outside the cone up to 33% of the time.

At 11 p.m., the center of Hurricane Humberto was located 635 miles south-southeast of Bermuda.

Humberto is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph. A turn toward the north-northwest is anticipated on Monday evening. Humberto is forecast to then turn north-northeastward and move west of Bermuda by Tuesday evening.

Maximum sustained winds are near 160 mph with higher gusts.

Humberto is a Category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Humberto should remain a powerful major hurricane for the next several days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 924 mb.

Swells generated by Humberto will affect portions of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Bermuda beginning tonight and continuing through next week. Swells from Humberto will also affect the U.S. East Coast beginning Monday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

Spaghetti models for Hurricane Humberto

Special note about spaghetti models: Spaghetti model illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The Hurricane Center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts.

What is the Fujiwhara effect?

“When two hurricanes spinning in the same direction pass close enough to each other, they begin an intense dance around their common center,” the National Weather Service said.

➤ Fujiwhara effect making it hard to figure out Florida impacts of Humberto, Invest 94L. What is it?

“If one hurricane is a lot stronger than the other, the smaller one will orbit it and eventually come crashing into its vortex to be absorbed.

“Two storms closer in strength can gravitate toward each other until they reach a common point and merge, or merely spin each other around for a while before shooting off on their own paths.

“In rare occasions, the effect is additive when the hurricanes come together, resulting in one larger storm instead of two smaller ones.”

So simply put, if there are two hurricanes spinning close together — usually between 345 and 863 miles — here’s what can happen:

One gets absorbed by the other

They merge into a single storm

They shoot off on their own path in a sort of slingshot effect

Rarely, they not only merge but become a larger storm than each individual was

What do the colored, hatched areas on the NOAA map mean?

The hatched areas on the National Hurricane Center’s tropical outlook map indicate “areas where a tropical cyclone — which could be a tropical depression, tropical storm or hurricane — could develop,” said National Hurricane Center Deputy Director Jamie Rhome.

The colors make it visibly clear how likely a system could develop, with yellow being low, orange medium, and red high.

The National Hurricane Center generally doesn’t issue tropical advisories until there is a named storm, but there is an exception.

“If a system is near land and there is potential for development, the National Hurricane Center won’t wait before it issues advisories, even if the system hasn’t become an actual storm. This gives residents time to prepare,” Rhome said.

Colorado State University predicting tropical activity will pick up

In its latest two-week forecast for Sept. 17-30, Colorado State University forecasters predicted activity will pick up over the next couple of weeks.

“Global model ensembles are hinting at potential additional tropical cyclone development in one to two weeks in both the eastern/central Atlantic as well as the Gulf/western Caribbean.

“The primary threat formation area for major hurricanes in mid- to late September is in the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.”

Memories of Hurricane Helene fresh as eyes keep wary eye on tropics

A combination of weather factors and geography helped make Hurricane Helene one of the most brutal storms in the modern history of hurricanes.

Helene formed in the northwestern Caribbean on Sept. 24, 2024, and rapidly intensified into a powerful Category 4 hurricane before making landfall near Perry, Florida, less than 72 hours later.

➤ Hurricane Helene began a path of destruction a year ago. Why was it was so deadly?

Then a double whammy from a colliding weather pattern set up historic rainfall across the North Carolina and Tennessee mountains.

A year later, many hurricane victims from Florida to Tennessee continue to struggle with attempts to rebuild and recover.

Forecasters urge all residents to keep an eye on the tropics and to always be prepared

Officials regularly encourage Florida residents to prepare for storms before a hurricane is approaching, while shelves are fully stocked and you aren’t battling crowds all rushing to the store at the same time.

“It only takes one storm to make it an impactful year for your community,” the National Hurricane Center Miami posted on X.

➤ See list of emergency supplies you can now buy tax free

On Aug. 1, specific hurricane supplies became permanently tax-free in Florida, ranging from batteries to generators.

➤ Don’t have a hurricane supply kit? From the basics to the extras, here’s what you need

Here are some of the basics you should have:

Water

Non-perishable food

Two-week supply of medications

Batteries

Flashlight

Cash

A go-bag with essential supplies in case you need to leave quickly

Portable cellphone chargers

Battery-operated radio

List of emergency phone numbers, including those for family members

Copy of your insurance policy

Florida weather radar for Sept. 27, 2025

Weather watches and warnings issued in Florida

When does hurricane season end?

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.

Ninety-seven percent of tropical cyclone activity occurs during this time period, NOAA said.

The Atlantic basin includes the northern Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America, as the Gulf of Mexico is now known in the U.S. per an order from President Trump. NOAA and the National Hurricane Center are now using Gulf of America on its maps and in its advisories.

When is the peak of hurricane season?

The peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center.

Hurricane names for 2025 season

Here are the names for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, along with how to pronounce them. The first hurricane of the season typically forms Aug. 11.

Andrea (June 20)

(June 20) Barry (June 29)

(June 29) Chantal (July 5)

(July 5) Dexter : (Aug. 3)

: (Aug. 3) Erin : (Aug. 11; hurricane Aug. 15; major hurricane Aug. 16)

: (Aug. 11; hurricane Aug. 15; major hurricane Aug. 16) Fernand : (Aug. 23)

: (Aug. 23) Gabrielle: (Sept. 17; hurricane Sept. 21; major hurricane Sept. 22)

Humberto: (Sept. 24; hurricane Sept. 26)

Imelda: ee-MEHL-dah

Jerry: JEHR-ee

Karen: KAIR-ren

Lorenzo: loh-REN-zoh

Melissa: meh-LIH-suh

Nestor: NES-tor

Olga: OAL-guh

Pablo: PAHB-lo

Rebekah: reh-BEH-kuh

Sebastien: se-BAS-tee-en

Tanya: TAHN-yuh

Van: van

Wendy: WEN-dee

National Hurricane Center map: See what forecasters watching now

Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center include:

Interactive map: Hurricanes, tropical storms that have passed near your city

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What’s next?

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Yahoo is using AI to generate takeaways from this article. This means the info may not always match what’s in the article. Reporting mistakes helps us improve the experience.

Yahoo is using AI to generate takeaways from this article. This means the info may not always match what’s in the article. Reporting mistakes helps us improve the experience.

Yahoo is using AI to generate takeaways from this article. This means the info may not always match what’s in the article. Reporting mistakes helps us improve the experience. Generate Key Takeaways

A storm system closing in from the Atlantic Ocean is expected to become Tropical Storm Imelda as early as Saturday night, and could affect the southeast U.S. coastline in the coming week.

The storm — officially called Tropical Depression Nine as of Saturday afternoon — was earlier located northwest of the eastern tip of Cuba, moving northwest at around 7 mph and forecast to cross the central and northwestern Bahamas this weekend, the National Hurricane Center said.

It was expected to become a tropical storm either Saturday night or early Sunday morning. When it becomes a tropical storm, it will take the name Imelda.

ABC News – PHOTO: This ABC News graphic shows two current Atlantic Ocean storm systems.

The storm is expected to approach the southeastern U.S. coast early next week, but there have been positive trends in the forecast.

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For now, a tropical storm watch has been issued for the east coast of central Florida all the way up to Southern Georgia.

National Hurricane Center – PHOTO: This National Hurricane Center shows the forecast for a tropical storm moving toward the U.S. coast.

A tropical storm warning continues for most of the Bahamas.

ABC News – PHOTO: tropical depression nine

Developing storm could strengthen into hurricane next week, South Carolina governor declares emergency: Latest forecast

Tracking the developing storm’s path

The tropical depression is expected to move into more favorable conditions over the next 24 hours, the reason for its expected strengthening.

Sunday through Monday, the likely storm will track north through the Bahamas and parallel to the east coast of Florida where it will batter the Bahamas with heavy rain and tropical-storm-force winds.

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While there is still some uncertainty with the track because of a complex steering setup, weather models are beginning to align with the storm beginning to slow down as it approaches the coast of Georgia and South Carolina, then making a hard turn east and avoiding landfall. It may also get a helping “tug” from strong Hurricane Humberto well off to the east near Bermuda.

ABC News – PHOTO: Tracking the storm map

Carolina coast bracing for possible impacts

By around Tuesday, the system will be close to the Georgia and South Carolina coasts as possibly a strong tropical storm or weak Category 1 hurricane, and this is where the heaviest rain and strongest winds will be on display for the Carolinas.

Storm surge and coastal flooding for the Carolinas and coastal Georgia will also be possible for the first half of next week.

This storm will interact with a stalled front that will be draped over the Southeast coast this weekend into next week, which will allow for multiple days of rainfall across the coast from Georgia up to Virginia.

ABC News – PHOTO: This ABC News graphic shows the weather forecast for incoming Atlantic storm systems.

Even though a landfall is looking increasingly unlikely, the coastline all the way up to Virginia is expected to see indirect impacts. There will be some rain, moderate wind gusts and coastal flooding from a prolonged onshore flow.

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In an afternoon press conference, South Carolina Governor Henry McMaster said the state has “no intention” of issuing any mandatory evacuation orders for the upcoming storm, but that people should not “be misled.”

“We know that we’re going to have high winds, we know that we’re going to have a lot of water,” the governor said.

ABC News – PHOTO: tropical futurecast

McMaster also invoked the one-year anniversary of Hurricane Helene to compare it to the uncertainty of this storm.

“We remember that it did not go exactly where it was expected to go,” McMaster said. “This storm does not look as strong as it looked yesterday, but that could change tonight.”

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The governor said he is “expecting” the federal government to cooperate with them, “100%,” and that Friday’s emergency declaration was to begin putting people and equipment in the right places, including helicopters and aerial resources.

“The good news is the storm will probably stay out in the ocean,” McMaster said, while still cautioning people to be prepared. “Don’t drive through standing water… we lose a lot of people through drowning,” the governor said, calling that “pitiful.”

The city of Charleston, South Carolina, also issued a local state of emergency out of an abundance of caution.

“Today’s action is about readiness,” said Mayor William Cogswell. “Our teams are clearing drains, staging pumps and barricades, and adjusting staffing so we can respond quickly if conditions worsen

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In North Carolina, Gov. Josh Stein also declared a state of emergency in anticipation of the expected storm.

What to know about Hurricane Humberto

Meanwhile, Hurricane Humberto has rapidly intensified to become the third major hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season and the second Category 5 storm of the year. The NHC said Saturday that Humberto is expected to “remain a powerful major hurricane through early next week.”

National Hurricane Center – PHOTO: This National Hurricane Center shows the forecast for a tropical storm moving toward the U.S. coast.

Humberto is still expected to track west of Bermuda on Tuesday through Wednesday and stay hundreds of miles west of the U.S., eventually turning northeast and back out to sea without a landfall.

It could also interact with Imelda and help pull the storm out to sea along with it.

ORLANDO, Fla. – Tropical storm watches now run up and down the length of eastern Central Florida as we await the close shave from Tropical Depression 9, forecast to become a tropical storm named Imelda very soon.

The entirety of the east coast of Florida is now covered by tropical storm watches. An upgrade to tropical storm warnings is doable over the next 24 hours, and we should be watching for if and when the time comes. (Copyright 2025 by WKMG ClickOrlando – All rights reserved.)

Brevard, Volusia, and Flagler counties are included in these active watches, with an extension both south and north of our viewing area also roped into areas monitoring for potential impacts as we go through the next couple of days.

Before we delve into the details, I want to breakdown the key difference between a watch and a warning.

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A watch simply means we have ingredients on the table to see tropical storm conditions come together along our coastline. We have yet to actually put all these ingredients into a bowl to realize these conditions, but we should keep our eyes open as the threat is there.

A warning would indicate we’re expecting the arrival of tropical storm conditions at the forecasted time housed within the bulletin that will come across your phone, on your weather radio, or your television screen.

Right now, the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service are closely collaborating as to if and when an upgrade to the watch will be issued. As the name implies, we’re all watching.

No description found

This is the planning phase for you reading at home right now. If you do need to prepare at a moment’s notice, make sure you have those plans drawn up by tonight. If the warning does drop, that means conditions are coming and you should begin your preparation immediately.

The track forecast from NHC is still a little on the right side of where a good handful of our track models put the storm. We’ll have to watch this very closely over the next 24 hours. (Copyright 2025 by WKMG ClickOrlando – All rights reserved.)

Now, in terms of weather impacts, a lot still hinges on how far left or right future Imelda moves along its track. Right now the NHC keeps it far enough off our coast to where minimal impacts will be felt.

The seas will be rough, rip currents will be deadly, and some beach erosion is likely, but in terms of sustained tropical storm conditions we’re still outside that field for the time being.

There’s an enormous disclaimer I want to add to this – right now computer model guidance is all to the left of where the forecast track is from NHC.

No description found

If the storm were to jog any further west of where the center is projected to travel, conditions will deteriorate at a greater extent for folks along the immediate coastline. This is the point where National Weather Service will more often than not push the button on issuing tropical storm warnings.

Right now, Tropical Depression 9 is forecast to also become a hurricane. We’re far enough outside of the sphere of influence to avoid any hurricane conditions in our viewing area thankfully.

For Flagler, Volusia, and Brevard, your Sunday and Monday hinge greatly on how far west this system remains or if it gets yanked more northerly earlier on. Right now as the forecast stands, you could see occasional gusts approaching tropical storm strength when the storm is closest to our east coast, but sustained winds will remain between 15-30 mph.

Here’s a look at what Flagler county expects rolling into Sunday and Monday (Copyright 2025 by WKMG ClickOrlando – All rights reserved.)

Here’s a look at what could be happening in Volusia county during future Imelda’s pass off our east coast (Copyright 2025 by WKMG ClickOrlando – All rights reserved.)

Here’s a look at what to possibly expect in Brevard through Sunday and Monday (Copyright 2025 by WKMG ClickOrlando – All rights reserved.)

Wrap-around rainfall could also produce some urban flooding, roadway ponding, and overall hazardous travel conditions especially into your Monday.

Again, if the system does continue more towards the left of the current track, you can double up on some of these effects mentioned above. The chances you see tropical storm force winds on the beach and just inland goes up greatly.

The system is better organized as of tonight as well, so if models begin to head towards a more put together and stronger system our impacts will also be felt further inland.

Now on to the good news! Since the storm is not anticipated to make a landfall in Florida, let alone Central Florida, a lot of us interior counties will hardly notice a tropical system is off our east coast.

It will be pretty breezy outside, and the extra moisture being pushed in from the east will up our rain chances.

Some strong storms are possible, and we cannot rule out the potential of a rogue funnel cloud or two despite being on the generally weaker side of the storm. The “dirty side” as its called will be east of us altogether.

Winds on average will be sustained at about 15-25 mph for just about all of us, with occasional gusts trying to reach beyond 30mph.

I want to emphasize how much the variation we could see in the track dictates what we feel in Central Florida. Our coastline will for sure see some level of increase in winds, rain, and surf.

If we see any additional deviations to the left, closer to the Florida peninsula, we can start to open up the window for harsher conditions to make their way into areas of Seminole, Orange, and Osceola counties, essentially working right to left as the system tries to extend its reach further across our area.